Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, reflecting the absence of any launch announcements, product listings, or CFTC self-certifications in the weeks since the January 2026 acquisition close by the Robinhood-Susquehanna joint venture. While the deal positions the CFTC-licensed venue to enable independent event contracts—reducing reliance on partners like Kalshi—regulatory reviews, technical integrations, and operational ramp-up have delayed rollout, with no visible progress amid the tight three-day window. A surprise self-certification approval and immediate event contract debut could still shift odds, though such rapid execution remains improbable given standard timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$335,756 Vol.
$335,756 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$335,756 Vol.
$335,756 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, reflecting the absence of any launch announcements, product listings, or CFTC self-certifications in the weeks since the January 2026 acquisition close by the Robinhood-Susquehanna joint venture. While the deal positions the CFTC-licensed venue to enable independent event contracts—reducing reliance on partners like Kalshi—regulatory reviews, technical integrations, and operational ramp-up have delayed rollout, with no visible progress amid the tight three-day window. A surprise self-certification approval and immediate event contract debut could still shift odds, though such rapid execution remains improbable given standard timelines.
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ET
Volume
$335,756End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, reflecting the absence of any launch announcements, product listings, or CFTC self-certifications in the weeks since the January 2026 acquisition close by the Robinhood-Susquehanna joint venture. While the deal positions the CFTC-licensed venue to enable independent event contracts—reducing reliance on partners like Kalshi—regulatory reviews, technical integrations, and operational ramp-up have delayed rollout, with no visible progress amid the tight three-day window. A surprise self-certification approval and immediate event contract debut could still shift odds, though such rapid execution remains improbable given standard timelines.
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$335,756End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99% for Robinhood launching a prediction market through its MIAXdx derivatives exchange by March 31, reflecting the absence of any launch announcements, product listings, or CFTC self-certifications in the weeks since the January 2026 acquisition close by the Robinhood-Susquehanna joint venture. While the deal positions the CFTC-licensed venue to enable independent event contracts—reducing reliance on partners like Kalshi—regulatory reviews, technical integrations, and operational ramp-up have delayed rollout, with no visible progress amid the tight three-day window. A surprise self-certification approval and immediate event contract debut could still shift odds, though such rapid execution remains improbable given standard timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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