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Reconciliation bill passed by...?

$1,749,824 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

Additional context

Updated Jun 30

In order to qualify, the same reconciliation bill must be passed by both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. Passage of different reconciliation bills by each chamber will not suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Volume

$1,749,824

End Date

May 26, 2025

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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$1,749,824 Vol.

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Reconciliation bill passed by...?

May 26

$51,334 Vol.

No

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June 30

$372,220 Vol.

No

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July 2

$102,713 Vol.

No

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July 3

$404,335 Vol.

Yes

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July 4

$277,738 Vol.

Yes

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July 5

$97,624 Vol.

Yes

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July 31

$334,277 Vol.

Yes

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August 31

$109,584 Vol.

Yes

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About

Additional context

Updated Jun 30

In order to qualify, the same reconciliation bill must be passed by both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. Passage of different reconciliation bills by each chamber will not suffice.

Volume

$1,749,824

End Date

May 26, 2025