Trader consensus gives the Baltimore Ravens a slim 15% implied probability edge as 2027 AFC Champion, driven by their league-high 11.5 win total projection after retaining core defenders and skill players around MVP-caliber quarterback Lamar Jackson during March's free agency whirlwind. Buffalo Bills trail closely at 12.5%, bolstered by Josh Allen's explosive arm talent and favorable AFC East path, while New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs share 11.5% amid the Pats' momentum from last season's AFC Championship appearance with Drake Maye's growth and the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes dynasty pedigree despite roster turnover. Denver Broncos at 10% reflect Bo Nix's sophomore promise under Sean Payton. This bunched top five underscores AFC parity, with elite quarterback play, balanced rosters, and upcoming draft picks creating widespread contention for playoffs, division titles, and byes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBaltimore Ravens 15%
Buffalo Bills 12%
New England Patriots 12%
Kansas City Chiefs 12%
$3,056,049 Vol.
$3,056,049 Vol.
Baltimore Ravens
15%
Buffalo Bills
12%
New England Patriots
12%
Kansas City Chiefs
12%
Denver Broncos
10%
Houston Texans
8%
Los Angeles Chargers
8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
7%
Indianapolis Colts
6%
Cincinnati Bengals
5%
Las Vegas Raiders
3%
Pittsburgh Steelers
3%
Cleveland Browns
2%
Tennessee Titans
2%
Miami Dolphins
2%
New York Jets
1%
Baltimore Ravens 15%
Buffalo Bills 12%
New England Patriots 12%
Kansas City Chiefs 12%
$3,056,049 Vol.
$3,056,049 Vol.
Baltimore Ravens
15%
Buffalo Bills
12%
New England Patriots
12%
Kansas City Chiefs
12%
Denver Broncos
10%
Houston Texans
8%
Los Angeles Chargers
8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
7%
Indianapolis Colts
6%
Cincinnati Bengals
5%
Las Vegas Raiders
3%
Pittsburgh Steelers
3%
Cleveland Browns
2%
Tennessee Titans
2%
Miami Dolphins
2%
New York Jets
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives the Baltimore Ravens a slim 15% implied probability edge as 2027 AFC Champion, driven by their league-high 11.5 win total projection after retaining core defenders and skill players around MVP-caliber quarterback Lamar Jackson during March's free agency whirlwind. Buffalo Bills trail closely at 12.5%, bolstered by Josh Allen's explosive arm talent and favorable AFC East path, while New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs share 11.5% amid the Pats' momentum from last season's AFC Championship appearance with Drake Maye's growth and the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes dynasty pedigree despite roster turnover. Denver Broncos at 10% reflect Bo Nix's sophomore promise under Sean Payton. This bunched top five underscores AFC parity, with elite quarterback play, balanced rosters, and upcoming draft picks creating widespread contention for playoffs, division titles, and byes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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