Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Name: Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place
Start: 2025-12-03T21:04:52.065711Z
End: 2026-01-25T00:00:00Z

$49,456 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 33%

André Ventura (CH) 32%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 18%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 7.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$3,074 Vol.
33%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$2,746 Vol.
32%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,012 Vol.
18%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$5,474 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$1,369 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$2,151 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Jorge Pinto
$2,027 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$2,684 Vol.
1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

André Pestana (IND)
$2,036 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$2,055 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$2,142 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$1,976 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$2,016 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$1,996 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

António Filipe (PCP)
$2,015 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$2,015 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$2,233 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Volume

$49,456

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$49,456 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 33%

André Ventura (CH) 32%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 18%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 7.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$3,074 Vol.

33%

André Ventura (CH)

$2,746 Vol.

32%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,012 Vol.

18%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$5,474 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$1,369 Vol.

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$2,151 Vol.

Jorge Pinto

$2,027 Vol.

Catarina Martins (BE)

$2,684 Vol.

Tim Vieira (IND)

$2,038 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$2,036 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$1,771 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$2,055 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$2,142 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$1,976 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$2,059 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$2,016 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$1,499 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$2,065 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$1,996 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$2,015 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,015 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$2,233 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$49,456

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

54%

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

67%

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

88%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$3,074 Vol.
33%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$2,746 Vol.
32%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,012 Vol.
18%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$5,474 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$1,369 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%