Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-90 million first-week view count at 62.5% implied probability for MrBeast's next YouTube video, anchored by his March 21 "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting exactly 83 million views in week one—modest by his standards amid "falling off" social media chatter and negative feedback on concept fatigue. The freshly dropped "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," featuring high-profile Twitch stars like Ludwig, surged to 24 million views in its first 15 hours via cross-fanbase promotion, bolstering mid-range brackets like 70-80 million (20.8%) while capping upside due to recent downward trajectory from peak 100 million+ hauls. No next-video announcement yet, but upload patterns suggest imminent release, with algorithm dynamics and competition as key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 63%
70-80M 22.1%
90-100M 9%
110M+ 2.8%
$238,104 Vol.
$238,104 Vol.
<60M
<1%
60-70M
2%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
63%
90-100M
9%
100-110M
3%
110M+
3%
80-90M 63%
70-80M 22.1%
90-100M 9%
110M+ 2.8%
$238,104 Vol.
$238,104 Vol.
<60M
<1%
60-70M
2%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
63%
90-100M
9%
100-110M
3%
110M+
3%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-90 million first-week view count at 62.5% implied probability for MrBeast's next YouTube video, anchored by his March 21 "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting exactly 83 million views in week one—modest by his standards amid "falling off" social media chatter and negative feedback on concept fatigue. The freshly dropped "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," featuring high-profile Twitch stars like Ludwig, surged to 24 million views in its first 15 hours via cross-fanbase promotion, bolstering mid-range brackets like 70-80 million (20.8%) while capping upside due to recent downward trajectory from peak 100 million+ hauls. No next-video announcement yet, but upload patterns suggest imminent release, with algorithm dynamics and competition as key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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