Market icon

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Market icon

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

May 31

May 31

35–40M 27%

40–45M 25%

45–50M 16%

30–35M 15%

Polymarket

$76,853 Vol.

35–40M 27%

40–45M 25%

45–50M 16%

30–35M 15%

Polymarket

$76,853 Vol.

<25M

$13,758 Vol.

1%

25–30M

$6,055 Vol.

5%

30–35M

$8,764 Vol.

15%

35–40M

$5,571 Vol.

27%

40–45M

$4,673 Vol.

25%

45–50M

$3,657 Vol.

16%

50–55M

$5,250 Vol.

8%

55M+

$29,124 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 35–45 million day-1 YouTube views for MrBeast's next video, with 35–40M (26.5%) edging 40–45M (25.0%), reflecting the tight race driven by his mid-March "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" release hitting exactly 36 million opening-day views—below prior peaks like 80M+ but still massive. Recent performance variability stems from video concepts, with high-stakes survival challenges sustaining strong initial traction amid YouTube algorithm shifts and content fatigue signals from mixed fan feedback. Key differentiators include promotional hype, thumbnail clickability, and cross-platform buzz, especially post-April Fools' quitting prank that spiked engagement; the imminent Saturday drop could swing odds based on reveal trailer metrics and competing creator releases.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$76,853
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 35–45 million day-1 YouTube views for MrBeast's next video, with 35–40M (26.5%) edging 40–45M (25.0%), reflecting the tight race driven by his mid-March "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" release hitting exactly 36 million opening-day views—below prior peaks like 80M+ but still massive. Recent performance variability stems from video concepts, with high-stakes survival challenges sustaining strong initial traction amid YouTube algorithm shifts and content fatigue signals from mixed fan feedback. Key differentiators include promotional hype, thumbnail clickability, and cross-platform buzz, especially post-April Fools' quitting prank that spiked engagement; the imminent Saturday drop could swing odds based on reveal trailer metrics and competing creator releases.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$76,853
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "35–40M" at 27%, followed by "40–45M" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" has generated $76.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is "35–40M" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40–45M" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.