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Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Arvell Reese 74%

David Bailey 17%

Fernando Mendoza 6.9%

Sonny Styles 3.9%

Polymarket

$76,801 Vol.

Arvell Reese 74%

David Bailey 17%

Fernando Mendoza 6.9%

Sonny Styles 3.9%

Polymarket

$76,801 Vol.

Arvell Reese

$4,990 Vol.

74%

David Bailey

$42,925 Vol.

17%

Fernando Mendoza

$9,837 Vol.

7%

Sonny Styles

$0 Vol.

4%

Caleb Downs

$1,110 Vol.

4%

Ty Simpson

$1,344 Vol.

3%

Reuben Bain Jr.

$3,149 Vol.

7%

Dante Moore

$0 Vol.

2%

Garrett Nussmeier

$1,771 Vol.

2%

Jeremiyah Love

$1,332 Vol.

1%

Trevor Goosby

$786 Vol.

1%

T.J. Parker

$1,028 Vol.

1%

Drew Allar

$1,083 Vol.

1%

Francis Mauigoa

$2,406 Vol.

1%

Keldric Faulk

$0 Vol.

1%

Carson Beck

$1,297 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$1,409 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$781 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kayden McDonald

$1,468 Vol.

<1%

Carnell Tate

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Ohio State LB/EDGE Arvell Reese at 72% implied probability for the No. 2 overall pick to the New York Jets, driven by his elite athleticism, pass-rush production (8 sacks in 2025), and positional versatility praised in scouting reports and pre-draft visits with the Jets. Recent boosts include Chris Simms ranking him No. 1 EDGE just yesterday and ESPN's draft predictor showing a landslide lead for Reese at No. 2, aligning with Jets' urgent pass-rush needs after a disappointing 3-14 season. James Pearce Jr. (50%), Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), and Malaki Starks (49%) trail as elite alternatives—Tennessee EDGE Pearce with explosive traits, Texas OT Banks as a premier blindside protector, and Georgia S Starks offering ball skills—but lack Reese's mock draft dominance amid Raiders' expected QB grab at No. 1.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,801
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Ohio State LB/EDGE Arvell Reese at 72% implied probability for the No. 2 overall pick to the New York Jets, driven by his elite athleticism, pass-rush production (8 sacks in 2025), and positional versatility praised in scouting reports and pre-draft visits with the Jets. Recent boosts include Chris Simms ranking him No. 1 EDGE just yesterday and ESPN's draft predictor showing a landslide lead for Reese at No. 2, aligning with Jets' urgent pass-rush needs after a disappointing 3-14 season. James Pearce Jr. (50%), Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), and Malaki Starks (49%) trail as elite alternatives—Tennessee EDGE Pearce with explosive traits, Texas OT Banks as a premier blindside protector, and Georgia S Starks offering ball skills—but lack Reese's mock draft dominance amid Raiders' expected QB grab at No. 1.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,801
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 74%, followed by "David Bailey" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " has generated $76.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick ," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is "Arvell Reese" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Bailey" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.