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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 36.6%

No Bond chosen 23.1%

Callum Turner 8.0%

Harris Dickinson 7.3%

Polymarket

$1,054,130 Vol.

Jack Lowden 36.6%

No Bond chosen 23.1%

Callum Turner 8.0%

Harris Dickinson 7.3%

Polymarket

$1,054,130 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$176,816 Vol.

37%

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$464,095 Vol.

23%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$79,477 Vol.

8%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$19,736 Vol.

7%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$47,691 Vol.

7%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$12,805 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$13,706 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$13,867 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$24,411 Vol.

1%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$25,248 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$17,639 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$13,446 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$31,503 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$15,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$10,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$12,034 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$15,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$10,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$7,139 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$10,609 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$9,593 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$7,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$8,720 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$6,820 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden’s surge to 36.6% implied probability stems primarily from high-profile endorsements in recent weeks, including Gary Oldman’s September comments suggesting a choice has been made and his public support for his Slow Horses co-star, alongside earlier buzz from industry voices like Richard Osman. This momentum has elevated the Scottish actor above peers such as Callum Turner (12.8%) amid ongoing auditions and screen tests for Bond 26 under Denis Villeneuve. The sizable 23.1% on “No Bond chosen” reflects traders pricing in the methodical timeline Amy Pascal outlined, with a formal announcement still targeted for late 2026. Lower odds on names like Harris Dickinson or Jacob Elordi capture their earlier shortlist status without matching Lowden’s current narrative edge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,054,130
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden’s surge to 36.6% implied probability stems primarily from high-profile endorsements in recent weeks, including Gary Oldman’s September comments suggesting a choice has been made and his public support for his Slow Horses co-star, alongside earlier buzz from industry voices like Richard Osman. This momentum has elevated the Scottish actor above peers such as Callum Turner (12.8%) amid ongoing auditions and screen tests for Bond 26 under Denis Villeneuve. The sizable 23.1% on “No Bond chosen” reflects traders pricing in the methodical timeline Amy Pascal outlined, with a formal announcement still targeted for late 2026. Lower odds on names like Harris Dickinson or Jacob Elordi capture their earlier shortlist status without matching Lowden’s current narrative edge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,054,130
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 37%, followed by "No Bond chosen" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Jack Lowden" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.