**Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller “Primetime,” which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival on September 5, is tracking for a modest domestic opening of $10–15 million ahead of its wide release on September 25.** Early reviews have praised Pattinson’s transformative performance as Chris Hansen but noted the film’s uneven tone and limited commercial appeal as a niche true-crime drama. A24’s typical marketing footprint and September timing—amid competition from titles like Brad Pitt’s “Heart of the Beast”—support the market’s leading 13–16 million bracket at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the actor’s draw and festival visibility against the distributor’s history of contained debuts for similar genre fare, with the 10–13 million and 16–19 million ranges reflecting the narrow range of realistic outcomes once final weekend figures lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office
13-16m 39%
16-19m 24%
19-22m 21%
10-13m 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
<10m
11%
10-13m
12%
13-16m
39%
16-19m
24%
19-22m
21%
22m+
12%
13-16m 39%
16-19m 24%
19-22m 21%
10-13m 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
<10m
$125 Vol.
11%
10-13m
$15 Vol.
12%
13-16m
$60 Vol.
39%
16-19m
$0 Vol.
24%
19-22m
$0 Vol.
21%
22m+
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller “Primetime,” which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival on September 5, is tracking for a modest domestic opening of $10–15 million ahead of its wide release on September 25.** Early reviews have praised Pattinson’s transformative performance as Chris Hansen but noted the film’s uneven tone and limited commercial appeal as a niche true-crime drama. A24’s typical marketing footprint and September timing—amid competition from titles like Brad Pitt’s “Heart of the Beast”—support the market’s leading 13–16 million bracket at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the actor’s draw and festival visibility against the distributor’s history of contained debuts for similar genre fare, with the 10–13 million and 16–19 million ranges reflecting the narrow range of realistic outcomes once final weekend figures lock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$200End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller “Primetime,” which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival on September 5, is tracking for a modest domestic opening of $10–15 million ahead of its wide release on September 25.** Early reviews have praised Pattinson’s transformative performance as Chris Hansen but noted the film’s uneven tone and limited commercial appeal as a niche true-crime drama. A24’s typical marketing footprint and September timing—amid competition from titles like Brad Pitt’s “Heart of the Beast”—support the market’s leading 13–16 million bracket at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the actor’s draw and festival visibility against the distributor’s history of contained debuts for similar genre fare, with the 10–13 million and 16–19 million ranges reflecting the narrow range of realistic outcomes once final weekend figures lock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$200End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Robert Pattinson’s A24 psychological thriller “Primetime,” which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival on September 5, is tracking for a modest domestic opening of $10–15 million ahead of its wide release on September 25.** Early reviews have praised Pattinson’s transformative performance as Chris Hansen but noted the film’s uneven tone and limited commercial appeal as a niche true-crime drama. A24’s typical marketing footprint and September timing—amid competition from titles like Brad Pitt’s “Heart of the Beast”—support the market’s leading 13–16 million bracket at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the actor’s draw and festival visibility against the distributor’s history of contained debuts for similar genre fare, with the 10–13 million and 16–19 million ranges reflecting the narrow range of realistic outcomes once final weekend figures lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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