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#1 Box Office This Weekend?

icon for #1 Box Office This Weekend?

#1 Box Office This Weekend?

Avengers: Endgame Encore 84%

Resident Evil 13%

Primetime 2.6%

Heart of the Beast <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,123 Vol.

Avengers: Endgame Encore 84%

Resident Evil 13%

Primetime 2.6%

Heart of the Beast <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,123 Vol.

icon for Avengers: Endgame Encore

Avengers: Endgame Encore

$7,762 Vol.

84%

icon for Resident Evil

Resident Evil

$5,803 Vol.

13%

icon for Primetime

Primetime

$2,028 Vol.

3%

icon for Heart of the Beast

Heart of the Beast

$1,530 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Endgame Encore leads market-implied odds for the top box office spot due to robust presales and tracking estimates of $25–28 million for its September 25–27 re-release window, fueled by nostalgia ahead of Avengers: Doomsday. This positions the Marvel title well ahead of Resident Evil’s projected $24–26 million second-weekend drop after its franchise-best $60 million debut. New wide releases including Brad Pitt’s Heart of the Beast, Robert Pattinson’s Primetime, and Forgotten Island are each tracking in the $15–20 million range and will likely compete for lower chart positions. Strong advance ticket data and fan-driven interest have solidified trader consensus around the re-release as the weekend’s dominant performer.

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,123
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Endgame Encore leads market-implied odds for the top box office spot due to robust presales and tracking estimates of $25–28 million for its September 25–27 re-release window, fueled by nostalgia ahead of Avengers: Doomsday. This positions the Marvel title well ahead of Resident Evil’s projected $24–26 million second-weekend drop after its franchise-best $60 million debut. New wide releases including Brad Pitt’s Heart of the Beast, Robert Pattinson’s Primetime, and Forgotten Island are each tracking in the $15–20 million range and will likely compete for lower chart positions. Strong advance ticket data and fan-driven interest have solidified trader consensus around the re-release as the weekend’s dominant performer.

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,123
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Box Office This Weekend?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Avengers: Endgame Encore" at 86%, followed by "Resident Evil" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Box Office This Weekend?" has generated $17.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Box Office This Weekend?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Box Office This Weekend?" is "Avengers: Endgame Encore" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Resident Evil" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Box Office This Weekend?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.