UConn's dominant run as the defending champions anchors trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to reach the Sweet Sixteen, bolstered by their 7-0 tournament record post-title defense and Tristen Newton's steady playmaking amid minimal rotation tweaks. Upsets like NC State's stunning victories over higher seeds have boosted mid-majors in weaker brackets, shifting odds for bubble teams like Oakland, while top seeds Purdue and Houston hold firm due to size advantages and rest edges. Recent injury clarity—no major updates from official reports—combined with home-regional crowd boosts and head-to-head familiarity, underscores crowd wisdom favoring chalk over Cinderella stories in Round of 32 matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNCAA Tournament: Team to make Sweet Sixteen
NCAA Tournament: Team to make Sweet Sixteen
$1,787 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Michigan
Yes
Arizona
Yes
UConn
Yes
Illinois
Yes
Iowa State
Yes
Duke
Yes
Florida
No
Michigan State
Yes
Houston
Yes
Nebraska
Yes
Virginia
No
Kansas
No
Gonzaga
No
Texas Tech
No
Arkansas
Yes
Wisconsin
No
Vanderbilt
No
Kentucky
No
Villanova
No
UCLA
No
Iowa
Yes
Ohio State
No
Utah State
No
NC State
No
Texas A&M
No
Texas
Yes
Missouri
No
Alabama
Yes
Purdue
Yes
Louisville
No
Tennessee
Yes
Miami (FL)
No
St. John’s
Yes
North Carolina
No
Clemson
No
BYU
No
Saint Louis
No
Saint Mary’s
No
Georgia
No
TCU
No
UCF
No
Miami (Ohio)
No
Santa Clara
No
VCU
No
Oklahoma
No
Northern Iowa
No
Yale
No
Hofstra
No
Utah Valley
No
North Dakota State
No
South Florida
No
Akron
No
McNeese
No
High Point
No
Sam Houston
No
Wright State
No
Troy
No
Furman
No
Tennessee State
No
LIU
No
Southern
No
UMBC
No
UC Irvine
No
Siena
No
Idaho
No
Queens Univerity
No
Lehigh
No
Howard
No
SMU
No
Cal Baptist
No
Penn
No
Prairie View A&M
No
Kennesaw State
No
Hawaii
No
$1,787 Vol.
Michigan
$0 Vol.
Yes
Arizona
$0 Vol.
Yes
UConn
$0 Vol.
Yes
Illinois
$0 Vol.
Yes
Iowa State
$0 Vol.
Yes
Duke
$0 Vol.
Yes
Florida
$0 Vol.
No
Michigan State
$0 Vol.
Yes
Houston
$0 Vol.
Yes
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
Yes
Virginia
$0 Vol.
No
Kansas
$0 Vol.
No
Gonzaga
$0 Vol.
No
Texas Tech
$0 Vol.
No
Arkansas
$0 Vol.
Yes
Wisconsin
$0 Vol.
No
Vanderbilt
$0 Vol.
No
Kentucky
$0 Vol.
No
Villanova
$0 Vol.
No
UCLA
$0 Vol.
No
Iowa
$0 Vol.
Yes
Ohio State
$0 Vol.
No
Utah State
$0 Vol.
No
NC State
$374 Vol.
No
Texas A&M
$0 Vol.
No
Texas
$0 Vol.
Yes
Missouri
$0 Vol.
No
Alabama
$0 Vol.
Yes
Purdue
$0 Vol.
Yes
Louisville
$0 Vol.
No
Tennessee
$0 Vol.
Yes
Miami (FL)
$0 Vol.
No
St. John’s
$0 Vol.
Yes
North Carolina
$0 Vol.
No
Clemson
$0 Vol.
No
BYU
$0 Vol.
No
Saint Louis
$0 Vol.
No
Saint Mary’s
$0 Vol.
No
Georgia
$0 Vol.
No
TCU
$0 Vol.
No
UCF
$0 Vol.
No
Miami (Ohio)
$0 Vol.
No
Santa Clara
$0 Vol.
No
VCU
$0 Vol.
No
Oklahoma
$0 Vol.
No
Northern Iowa
$0 Vol.
No
Yale
$0 Vol.
No
Hofstra
$0 Vol.
No
Utah Valley
$0 Vol.
No
North Dakota State
$0 Vol.
No
South Florida
$0 Vol.
No
Akron
$0 Vol.
No
McNeese
$0 Vol.
No
High Point
$0 Vol.
No
Sam Houston
$0 Vol.
No
Wright State
$0 Vol.
No
Troy
$0 Vol.
No
Furman
$0 Vol.
No
Tennessee State
$0 Vol.
No
LIU
$0 Vol.
No
Southern
$0 Vol.
No
UMBC
$0 Vol.
No
UC Irvine
$0 Vol.
No
Siena
$0 Vol.
No
Idaho
$884 Vol.
No
Queens Univerity
$0 Vol.
No
Lehigh
$0 Vol.
No
Howard
$0 Vol.
No
SMU
$0 Vol.
No
Cal Baptist
$529 Vol.
No
Penn
$0 Vol.
No
Prairie View A&M
$0 Vol.
No
Kennesaw State
$0 Vol.
No
Hawaii
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UConn's dominant run as the defending champions anchors trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to reach the Sweet Sixteen, bolstered by their 7-0 tournament record post-title defense and Tristen Newton's steady playmaking amid minimal rotation tweaks. Upsets like NC State's stunning victories over higher seeds have boosted mid-majors in weaker brackets, shifting odds for bubble teams like Oakland, while top seeds Purdue and Houston hold firm due to size advantages and rest edges. Recent injury clarity—no major updates from official reports—combined with home-regional crowd boosts and head-to-head familiarity, underscores crowd wisdom favoring chalk over Cinderella stories in Round of 32 matchups.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,787End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 15, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UConn's dominant run as the defending champions anchors trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to reach the Sweet Sixteen, bolstered by their 7-0 tournament record post-title defense and Tristen Newton's steady playmaking amid minimal rotation tweaks. Upsets like NC State's stunning victories over higher seeds have boosted mid-majors in weaker brackets, shifting odds for bubble teams like Oakland, while top seeds Purdue and Houston hold firm due to size advantages and rest edges. Recent injury clarity—no major updates from official reports—combined with home-regional crowd boosts and head-to-head familiarity, underscores crowd wisdom favoring chalk over Cinderella stories in Round of 32 matchups.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Sweet Sixteen of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,787End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 15, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
UConn's dominant run as the defending champions anchors trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to reach the Sweet Sixteen, bolstered by their 7-0 tournament record post-title defense and Tristen Newton's steady playmaking amid minimal rotation tweaks. Upsets like NC State's stunning victories over higher seeds have boosted mid-majors in weaker brackets, shifting odds for bubble teams like Oakland, while top seeds Purdue and Houston hold firm due to size advantages and rest edges. Recent injury clarity—no major updates from official reports—combined with home-regional crowd boosts and head-to-head familiarity, underscores crowd wisdom favoring chalk over Cinderella stories in Round of 32 matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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