NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight

Name: NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight
Start: 2026-03-13T23:12:15.638Z
End: 2026-03-28T00:00:00.000Z

Sports·Basketball

NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight

$35,432 Vol.

Mar 28, 2026

Arizona

$26 Vol.

76%

Michigan

$0 Vol.

80%

Houston

$472 Vol.

64%

Florida

$110 Vol.

52%

Purdue

$10,161 Vol.

50%

Duke

$172 Vol.

47%

Illinois

$0 Vol.

40%

Iowa State

$382 Vol.

38%

Michigan State

$588 Vol.

35%

Gonzaga

$0 Vol.

25%

Prairie View A&M

$0 Vol.

32%

UConn

$114 Vol.

30%

Furman

$22 Vol.

28%

Virginia

$0 Vol.

22%

Tennessee

$374 Vol.

18%

Vanderbilt

$0 Vol.

23%

St. John’s

$0 Vol.

21%

Arkansas

$0 Vol.

18%

Alabama

$405 Vol.

27%

Nebraska

$0 Vol.

15%

UCLA

$0 Vol.

15%

Louisville

$0 Vol.

15%

Texas

$129 Vol.

13%

Texas Tech

$0 Vol.

12%

Kentucky

$350 Vol.

11%

Kansas

$0 Vol.

11%

Iowa

$178 Vol.

Miami (FL)

$105 Vol.

TCU

$0 Vol.

Texas A&M

$0 Vol.

Utah State

$0 Vol.

Missouri

$0 Vol.

VCU

$0 Vol.

High Point

$0 Vol.

Cal Baptist

$0 Vol.

UCF

$145 Vol.

Clemson

$871 Vol.

Queens

$865 Vol.

<1%

Northern Iowa

$865 Vol.

<1%

Saint Louis

$134 Vol.

41%

$35,432 Vol.

Arizona

$26 Vol.

76%

Michigan

$0 Vol.

80%

Houston

$472 Vol.

64%

Florida

$110 Vol.

52%

Purdue

$10,161 Vol.

50%

Duke

$172 Vol.

47%

Illinois

$0 Vol.

40%

Iowa State

$382 Vol.

38%

Michigan State

$588 Vol.

35%

Gonzaga

$0 Vol.

25%

Prairie View A&M

$0 Vol.

32%

UConn

$114 Vol.

30%

Furman

$22 Vol.

28%

Virginia

$0 Vol.

22%

Tennessee

$374 Vol.

18%

Vanderbilt

$0 Vol.

23%

St. John’s

$0 Vol.

21%

Arkansas

$0 Vol.

18%

Alabama

$405 Vol.

27%

Nebraska

$0 Vol.

15%

UCLA

$0 Vol.

15%

Louisville

$0 Vol.

15%

Texas

$129 Vol.

13%

Texas Tech

$0 Vol.

12%

Kentucky

$350 Vol.

11%

Kansas

$0 Vol.

11%

Iowa

$178 Vol.

Miami (FL)

$105 Vol.

TCU

$0 Vol.

Texas A&M

$0 Vol.

Utah State

$0 Vol.

Missouri

$0 Vol.

VCU

$0 Vol.

High Point

$0 Vol.

Cal Baptist

$0 Vol.

UCF

$145 Vol.

Clemson

$871 Vol.

Queens

$865 Vol.

<1%

Northern Iowa

$865 Vol.

<1%

Saint Louis

$134 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

NC State's Cinderella surge as an 11-seed, stringing together upsets over Texas Tech and Marquette in the Round of 32 and Sweet 16, has spiked trader consensus on their Elite Eight breakthrough, underscoring March Madness' upset potential after an eight-game tournament win streak. Defending champs UConn remain pricing favorites after dismantling Kentucky 76-64, leveraging superior guard play and rebounding against Illinois. Purdue's Zach Edey finally clears the Sweet 16 hump versus Tennessee, fueling redemption narrative versus NC State's DJ Burns novelty. Narrow escapes like Duke's 54-51 grinder over top seed Houston and Clemson's bracket-busting wins over Baylor and Arizona elevate mid-majors, while neutral-site Elite Eight matchups prioritize momentum over seeding.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 21, 2026, 1:34 AM UTC

Will Texas A&M advance to the National Championship?

50%

Will Michigan advance to the Sweet Sixteen?

89%

Will Michigan advance to the Final Four?

59%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 74+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michigan" at 80%, followed by "Arizona" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" has generated $35.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight," browse the 74+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" is "Michigan" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arizona" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $35.4K traded on “NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 80¢ for "Michigan" in the "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 80% chance that "Michigan" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 80¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 20¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 28, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight

NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight

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