Trader consensus favors 71–80 "This is March" tweets from Jon Rothstein at 33% implied probability, reflecting his accelerated pace amid 2026 NCAA Tournament chaos through the Elite Eight on March 28. Recent developments include multiple daily instances tied to upsets like VCU stunning North Carolina, St. John's first Sweet 16 since 1999 under Rick Pitino, and Nebraska's Cinderella run, plus epic clashes such as Purdue vs. Arizona. With roughly 60–70 tweets logged by March 27 per trackers—building from 39 on March 21—and Final Four looming April 4–6, higher bins like 81+ (21.5%) gain traction from historical peaks (93 in 2023), while mid-range 51–60 (20.5%) fades amid sustained drama and no reported posting slowdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
71–80 40.3%
81+ 22%
51–60 21%
≤ 40 6.9%
$26,966 Vol.
$26,966 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
≤ 40
7%
41–50
11%
51–60
21%
61–70
6%
71–80
40%
81+
22%
71–80 40.3%
81+ 22%
51–60 21%
≤ 40 6.9%
$26,966 Vol.
$26,966 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
≤ 40
$4,383 Vol.
7%
41–50
$4,563 Vol.
11%
51–60
$10,016 Vol.
21%
61–70
$2,142 Vol.
6%
71–80
$2,239 Vol.
40%
81+
$3,623 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trader consensus favors 71–80 "This is March" tweets from Jon Rothstein at 33% implied probability, reflecting his accelerated pace amid 2026 NCAA Tournament chaos through the Elite Eight on March 28. Recent developments include multiple daily instances tied to upsets like VCU stunning North Carolina, St. John's first Sweet 16 since 1999 under Rick Pitino, and Nebraska's Cinderella run, plus epic clashes such as Purdue vs. Arizona. With roughly 60–70 tweets logged by March 27 per trackers—building from 39 on March 21—and Final Four looming April 4–6, higher bins like 81+ (21.5%) gain traction from historical peaks (93 in 2023), while mid-range 51–60 (20.5%) fades amid sustained drama and no reported posting slowdown.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Market Opened: Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Volume
$26,966End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trader consensus favors 71–80 "This is March" tweets from Jon Rothstein at 33% implied probability, reflecting his accelerated pace amid 2026 NCAA Tournament chaos through the Elite Eight on March 28. Recent developments include multiple daily instances tied to upsets like VCU stunning North Carolina, St. John's first Sweet 16 since 1999 under Rick Pitino, and Nebraska's Cinderella run, plus epic clashes such as Purdue vs. Arizona. With roughly 60–70 tweets logged by March 27 per trackers—building from 39 on March 21—and Final Four looming April 4–6, higher bins like 81+ (21.5%) gain traction from historical peaks (93 in 2023), while mid-range 51–60 (20.5%) fades amid sustained drama and no reported posting slowdown.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$26,966End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 71–80 "This is March" tweets from Jon Rothstein at 33% implied probability, reflecting his accelerated pace amid 2026 NCAA Tournament chaos through the Elite Eight on March 28. Recent developments include multiple daily instances tied to upsets like VCU stunning North Carolina, St. John's first Sweet 16 since 1999 under Rick Pitino, and Nebraska's Cinderella run, plus epic clashes such as Purdue vs. Arizona. With roughly 60–70 tweets logged by March 27 per trackers—building from 39 on March 21—and Final Four looming April 4–6, higher bins like 81+ (21.5%) gain traction from historical peaks (93 in 2023), while mid-range 51–60 (20.5%) fades amid sustained drama and no reported posting slowdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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