Sports·Basketball

NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?

Sports·Basketball

NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?

<1% chance

$0.00 Vol.

$0.00 Vol.

Apr 7, 2026

<1% chance

$0.00 Vol.

$0.00 Vol.

Apr 7, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is a number 15 seed wins any game during any round of the main tournament of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an opponent of any number 15 seed forfeits prior, or during the matchup, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is partially completed with otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is a number 15 seed wins any game during any round of the main tournament of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an opponent of any number 15 seed forfeits prior, or during the matchup, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is partially completed with otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?

Will Illinois advance to the National Championship?

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of "Yes" or "No" represents the market's implied probability. A "Yes" price of 0¢ for "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" means traders collectively believe there is a 0% chance this event will happen. If you buy "Yes" at 0¢ and the event does happen, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If the event doesn't happen, those shares are worth $0.

The "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.