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Sports·College Basketball

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

Market icon
Sports·College Basketball

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

1 100.0%

2 <1%

3 <1%

4 <1%

Polymarket

$11,322 Vol.

1 100.0%

2 <1%

3 <1%

4 <1%

Polymarket

$11,322 Vol.

1

$4,680 Vol.

Yes

2

$1,195 Vol.

No

3

$1,568 Vol.

No

4

$826 Vol.

No

5

$171 Vol.

No

6

$1,061 Vol.

No

7

$0 Vol.

No

8

$0 Vol.

No

9

$976 Vol.

No

10

$0 Vol.

No

11

$846 Vol.

No

12

$0 Vol.

No

13

$0 Vol.

No

14

$0 Vol.

No

15

$0 Vol.

No

16

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines captured the 2026 NCAA Tournament national championship with a decisive victory over No. 2 seed UConn in the title game on April 6 at Lucas Oil Stadium, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a 1-seed winner and effectively resolving the market. Michigan's dominant tournament run featured high-scoring Elite Eight and Final Four triumphs, including a rout of fellow 1-seed Arizona, showcasing superior depth, defensive intensity, and offensive firepower amid a bracket that saw top seeds advance deep. With the outcome confirmed via official NCAA results, no realistic challenges remain—barring unprecedented disputes—cementing the wisdom of crowds in this skin-in-the-game pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,322
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines captured the 2026 NCAA Tournament national championship with a decisive victory over No. 2 seed UConn in the title game on April 6 at Lucas Oil Stadium, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a 1-seed winner and effectively resolving the market. Michigan's dominant tournament run featured high-scoring Elite Eight and Final Four triumphs, including a rout of fellow 1-seed Arizona, showcasing superior depth, defensive intensity, and offensive firepower amid a bracket that saw top seeds advance deep. With the outcome confirmed via official NCAA results, no realistic challenges remain—barring unprecedented disputes—cementing the wisdom of crowds in this skin-in-the-game pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,322
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1" at 100%, followed by "2" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" has generated $11.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" is "1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.