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icon for NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

icon for NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

$1,488,677 Vol.

May 3, 2026
Polymarket

$1,488,677 Vol.

Polymarket

Toronto Raptors

$15,800 Vol.

No

Atlanta Hawks

$8,594 Vol.

No

Los Angeles Lakers

$134,931 Vol.

Yes

Los Angeles Clippers

$906 Vol.

No

Cleveland Cavaliers

$14,288 Vol.

Yes

Oklahoma City Thunder

$495,026 Vol.

Yes

Denver Nuggets

$44,304 Vol.

No

Houston Rockets

$57,591 Vol.

No

Phoenix Suns

$205,336 Vol.

No

Portland Trail Blazers

$19,402 Vol.

No

Detroit Pistons

$29,588 Vol.

Yes

New York Knicks

$18,479 Vol.

Yes

Orlando Magic

$24,585 Vol.

No

Charlotte Hornets

$108 Vol.

No

San Antonio Spurs

$228,078 Vol.

Yes

Golden State Warriors

$1,900 Vol.

No

Boston Celtics

$163,200 Vol.

No

Philadelphia 76ers

$12,132 Vol.

Yes

Miami Heat

$177 Vol.

No

Minnesota Timberwolves

$14,252 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in the Eastern Conference first-round advancement markets heavily favors the Detroit Pistons (72%) and Cleveland Cavaliers (74%) ahead of Game 7s in series tied 3-3 against the Orlando Magic (28%) and Toronto Raptors (26%), reflecting home-court advantages and recent momentum shifts. The Pistons staged an epic 24-point comeback in Game 6, with Cade Cunningham's 32 points, 10 rebounds, and defensive clampdown limiting Orlando to 78 points, overcoming Orlando's earlier 3-1 lead despite Franz Wagner's calf strain sidelining him. Meanwhile, Toronto forced Game 7 via RJ Barrett's overtime buzzer-beating 3-pointer, but face uncertainty with Brandon Ingram's heel inflammation. Key factors include injury reports—Tobias Harris questionable (ankle) for Detroit—and historical Game 7 home success, with playoffs' high variance keeping upsets viable.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,488,677
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in the Eastern Conference first-round advancement markets heavily favors the Detroit Pistons (72%) and Cleveland Cavaliers (74%) ahead of Game 7s in series tied 3-3 against the Orlando Magic (28%) and Toronto Raptors (26%), reflecting home-court advantages and recent momentum shifts. The Pistons staged an epic 24-point comeback in Game 6, with Cade Cunningham's 32 points, 10 rebounds, and defensive clampdown limiting Orlando to 78 points, overcoming Orlando's earlier 3-1 lead despite Franz Wagner's calf strain sidelining him. Meanwhile, Toronto forced Game 7 via RJ Barrett's overtime buzzer-beating 3-pointer, but face uncertainty with Brandon Ingram's heel inflammation. Key factors include injury reports—Tobias Harris questionable (ankle) for Detroit—and historical Game 7 home success, with playoffs' high variance keeping upsets viable.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,488,677
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Los Angeles Lakers" at 100%, followed by "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is "Los Angeles Lakers" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.