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Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

Market icon
Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

$185,370 Vol.

May 3, 2026
Polymarket

$185,370 Vol.

Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

$47,323 Vol.

97%

Boston Celtics

$13,671 Vol.

94%

San Antonio Spurs

$32,326 Vol.

91%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$3,215 Vol.

88%

Detroit Pistons

$14,473 Vol.

85%

Denver Nuggets

$13,392 Vol.

82%

New York Knicks

$3,000 Vol.

78%

Houston Rockets

$5,828 Vol.

51%

Los Angeles Lakers

$16,807 Vol.

32%

Atlanta Hawks

$5,703 Vol.

21%

Orlando Magic

$12,036 Vol.

17%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$1,167 Vol.

17%

Toronto Raptors

$832 Vol.

14%

Portland Trail Blazers

$8,674 Vol.

11%

Phoenix Suns

$300 Vol.

8%

Philadelphia 76ers

$3,532 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With NBA first-round playoff series tipping off April 18-19, trader consensus in advancement markets heavily favors top seeds leveraging home-court advantage, dominant regular-season records, and favorable matchups against lower seeds. Key developments include Kevin Durant's official out status for Houston Rockets' Game 1 versus Los Angeles Lakers due to knee injury, boosting underdog Lakers' upset potential, while Anthony Edwards is available despite Minnesota Timberwolves' questionable knee tag ahead of Denver Nuggets. Play-in tournament resolutions finalized seeds like No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder over Phoenix Suns and No. 2 San Antonio Spurs over Portland Trail Blazers; official injury reports confirm minor absences like Toronto Raptors' Immanuel Quickley out versus Cleveland Cavaliers. Recent form, head-to-head splits, and rest edges post-regular season define closely watched series like New York Knicks-Atlanta Hawks, where early Game 1 results could accelerate momentum shifts.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$185,370
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With NBA first-round playoff series tipping off April 18-19, trader consensus in advancement markets heavily favors top seeds leveraging home-court advantage, dominant regular-season records, and favorable matchups against lower seeds. Key developments include Kevin Durant's official out status for Houston Rockets' Game 1 versus Los Angeles Lakers due to knee injury, boosting underdog Lakers' upset potential, while Anthony Edwards is available despite Minnesota Timberwolves' questionable knee tag ahead of Denver Nuggets. Play-in tournament resolutions finalized seeds like No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder over Phoenix Suns and No. 2 San Antonio Spurs over Portland Trail Blazers; official injury reports confirm minor absences like Toronto Raptors' Immanuel Quickley out versus Cleveland Cavaliers. Recent form, head-to-head splits, and rest edges post-regular season define closely watched series like New York Knicks-Atlanta Hawks, where early Game 1 results could accelerate momentum shifts.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$185,370
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 97%, followed by "Boston Celtics" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" has generated $185.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Boston Celtics" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.