Trader sentiment favors a low total of buzzer beaters in the NCAA Tournament after zero game-winning shots at the buzzer through the Elite Eight, matching the rarity of such moments historically (typically 0-2 per full bracket). Early rounds saw tight finishes like Yale's comeback over Auburn and NC State's survival against Marquette, but no heroics with time expired, as defenses intensified. With just three high-stakes games left—Final Four semifinals and championship—the opportunity shrinks, though pressure-packed matchups like Purdue vs. NC State could spark a dramatic last-second heave akin to past March Madness thrillers. Odds reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in low-probability chaos.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$15,991 Vol.
2+
52%
3+
51%
4+
11%
5+
6%
6+
5%
7+
4%
8+
4%
9+
5%
$15,991 Vol.
2+
52%
3+
51%
4+
11%
5+
6%
6+
5%
7+
4%
8+
4%
9+
5%
If no buzzer beater is scored during the 2026 NCAA Tournament, the market will resolve to “No”
A ‘buzzer beater’ is a made field goal that is scored at the expiration (leaving zero seconds on game clock) of any second-half or overtime period during the NCAA Tournament and ties the game or gives the shooting team the lead. First-half buzzer beaters will not count. Shots by a team that is already ahead or behind and that do not result in a tie or lead change will not count. Shots made at the end of the shot clock are not considered buzzer beaters.
If the tournament concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA statistics for completed games.
If the NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “buzzer beaters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA and its official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment favors a low total of buzzer beaters in the NCAA Tournament after zero game-winning shots at the buzzer through the Elite Eight, matching the rarity of such moments historically (typically 0-2 per full bracket). Early rounds saw tight finishes like Yale's comeback over Auburn and NC State's survival against Marquette, but no heroics with time expired, as defenses intensified. With just three high-stakes games left—Final Four semifinals and championship—the opportunity shrinks, though pressure-packed matchups like Purdue vs. NC State could spark a dramatic last-second heave akin to past March Madness thrillers. Odds reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in low-probability chaos.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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