Los Angeles Dodgers lead trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability, buoyed by their 2024 World Series title, unmatched payroll flexibility, and star core including Shohei Ohtani's two-way dominance, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, positioning them for sustained contention amid minimal offseason losses. Seattle Mariners (8.3%) and Boston Red Sox (8.2%) differentiate via elite pitching rotations—Mariners boast MLB's deepest staff with Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, and Bryce Miller—paired with explosive prospect pipelines offsetting offensive gaps. New York Yankees (7.5%) rely on Aaron Judge's MVP caliber and farm depth despite free agency risks, while Toronto Blue Jays (5.5%) hinge on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s extension buzz and rotation upgrades; a wide-open field underscores two-season uncertainties like injuries and trades.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLos Angeles Dodgers 28%
Seattle Mariners 8.3%
Boston Red Sox 7.8%
New York Yankees 8%
$6,846,966 Vol.
$6,846,966 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
28%
Seattle Mariners
8%
Boston Red Sox
8%
New York Yankees
8%
Toronto Blue Jays
6%
New York Mets
5%
Atlanta Braves
5%
Philadelphia Phillies
4%
Detroit Tigers
4%
Chicago Cubs
3%
San Diego Padres
3%
Baltimore Orioles
3%
Houston Astros
2%
Milwaukee Brewers
2%
Texas Rangers
2%
Cincinnati Reds
1%
Kansas City Royals
1%
Cleveland Guardians
1%
Pittsburgh Pirates
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%
Tampa Bay Rays
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Athletics
1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
Chicago White Sox
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Colorado Rockies
<1%
Los Angeles Dodgers 28%
Seattle Mariners 8.3%
Boston Red Sox 7.8%
New York Yankees 8%
$6,846,966 Vol.
$6,846,966 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
28%
Seattle Mariners
8%
Boston Red Sox
8%
New York Yankees
8%
Toronto Blue Jays
6%
New York Mets
5%
Atlanta Braves
5%
Philadelphia Phillies
4%
Detroit Tigers
4%
Chicago Cubs
3%
San Diego Padres
3%
Baltimore Orioles
3%
Houston Astros
2%
Milwaukee Brewers
2%
Texas Rangers
2%
Cincinnati Reds
1%
Kansas City Royals
1%
Cleveland Guardians
1%
Pittsburgh Pirates
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%
Tampa Bay Rays
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Athletics
1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
Chicago White Sox
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Colorado Rockies
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Los Angeles Dodgers lead trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability, buoyed by their 2024 World Series title, unmatched payroll flexibility, and star core including Shohei Ohtani's two-way dominance, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, positioning them for sustained contention amid minimal offseason losses. Seattle Mariners (8.3%) and Boston Red Sox (8.2%) differentiate via elite pitching rotations—Mariners boast MLB's deepest staff with Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, and Bryce Miller—paired with explosive prospect pipelines offsetting offensive gaps. New York Yankees (7.5%) rely on Aaron Judge's MVP caliber and farm depth despite free agency risks, while Toronto Blue Jays (5.5%) hinge on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s extension buzz and rotation upgrades; a wide-open field underscores two-season uncertainties like injuries and trades.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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