Name: MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
Start: 2025-01-06T22:25:29.630652Z
End: 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z

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On January 6, MicroStrategy announced that, during the period between December 30, 2024 and December 31, 2024, the Company acquired
approximately 1,070 bitcoins (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt0472bf214994ac85/677bcf2226c6b4732e3ec3b8/form-8-k_01-06-2025.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart set to “MTD.”
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.

A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Market Context

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Rules

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Market Context

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

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