Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Lululemon Athletica (LULU) to beat Q3 earnings estimates, driven primarily by the company's stellar track record of 14 consecutive quarterly EPS beats and robust international growth offsetting softer U.S. demand signals from Q2. Recent analyst upgrades, whisper numbers exceeding consensus EPS of $2.68 by 5-7%, and resilient same-store sales momentum—bolstered by premium pricing power in athleisure—have fueled this near-unanimous sentiment backed by real capital. Key event: earnings release on December 5. Tail risks include a guidance miss on China exposure (20% of revenue) or macroeconomic consumer pullback, though market-implied odds dismiss these at negligible levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 17, 2026
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 17, 2026
As of market creation, Lululemon Athletica is estimated to release earnings on March 17, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Lululemon Athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.78 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lululemon Athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.78 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Lululemon Athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Lululemon Athletica (LULU) to beat Q3 earnings estimates, driven primarily by the company's stellar track record of 14 consecutive quarterly EPS beats and robust international growth offsetting softer U.S. demand signals from Q2. Recent analyst upgrades, whisper numbers exceeding consensus EPS of $2.68 by 5-7%, and resilient same-store sales momentum—bolstered by premium pricing power in athleisure—have fueled this near-unanimous sentiment backed by real capital. Key event: earnings release on December 5. Tail risks include a guidance miss on China exposure (20% of revenue) or macroeconomic consumer pullback, though market-implied odds dismiss these at negligible levels.
As of market creation, Lululemon Athletica is estimated to release earnings on March 17, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Lululemon Athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.78 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lululemon Athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.78 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Lululemon Athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Lululemon Athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 17, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
As of market creation, Lululemon Athletica is estimated to release earnings on March 17, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Lululemon Athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.78 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lululemon Athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.78 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Lululemon Athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Lululemon Athletica (LULU) to beat Q3 earnings estimates, driven primarily by the company's stellar track record of 14 consecutive quarterly EPS beats and robust international growth offsetting softer U.S. demand signals from Q2. Recent analyst upgrades, whisper numbers exceeding consensus EPS of $2.68 by 5-7%, and resilient same-store sales momentum—bolstered by premium pricing power in athleisure—have fueled this near-unanimous sentiment backed by real capital. Key event: earnings release on December 5. Tail risks include a guidance miss on China exposure (20% of revenue) or macroeconomic consumer pullback, though market-implied odds dismiss these at negligible levels.
As of market creation, Lululemon Athletica is estimated to release earnings on March 17, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Lululemon Athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.78 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lululemon Athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.78 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Lululemon Athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Lululemon Athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 17, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Lululemon Athletica (LULU) to beat Q3 earnings estimates, driven primarily by the company's stellar track record of 14 consecutive quarterly EPS beats and robust international growth offsetting softer U.S. demand signals from Q2. Recent analyst upgrades, whisper numbers exceeding consensus EPS of $2.68 by 5-7%, and resilient same-store sales momentum—bolstered by premium pricing power in athleisure—have fueled this near-unanimous sentiment backed by real capital. Key event: earnings release on December 5. Tail risks include a guidance miss on China exposure (20% of revenue) or macroeconomic consumer pullback, though market-implied odds dismiss these at negligible levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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