Trader sentiment overwhelmingly backs Kanye West's 'Bully' falling under 300k first-week units at 97.8% implied probability, driven by Hits Daily Double's fresh tracking pegging totals at 117,000 album-equivalent units—including a mere 20,000 pure sales—for a projected #2 Billboard 200 debut behind BTS' holdover. This plunge from earlier 250k–275k hype stems from lackluster physical and bundle performance despite 33 million Spotify first-day streams, the year's biggest rapper debut, amid mixed reception and Ye's history of polarizing drops like Vultures (148k peak). Realistic upsets hinge on late surges in streaming or unreported physicals before final chart lock next week, though barriers remain high given current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 97.7%
300k-400k <1%
400k-500k <1%
600k-700k <1%
$75,920 Vol.
$75,920 Vol.
<300k
98%
300k-400k
1%
400k-500k
<1%
500k-600k
<1%
600k-700k
<1%
700k-800k
<1%
800k-900k
<1%
900k+
<1%
<300k 97.7%
300k-400k <1%
400k-500k <1%
600k-700k <1%
$75,920 Vol.
$75,920 Vol.
<300k
98%
300k-400k
1%
400k-500k
<1%
500k-600k
<1%
600k-700k
<1%
700k-800k
<1%
800k-900k
<1%
900k+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment overwhelmingly backs Kanye West's 'Bully' falling under 300k first-week units at 97.8% implied probability, driven by Hits Daily Double's fresh tracking pegging totals at 117,000 album-equivalent units—including a mere 20,000 pure sales—for a projected #2 Billboard 200 debut behind BTS' holdover. This plunge from earlier 250k–275k hype stems from lackluster physical and bundle performance despite 33 million Spotify first-day streams, the year's biggest rapper debut, amid mixed reception and Ye's history of polarizing drops like Vultures (148k peak). Realistic upsets hinge on late surges in streaming or unreported physicals before final chart lock next week, though barriers remain high given current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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