Recent inflation readings and labor market resilience have kept the market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 closely balanced near 50 percent, with the “no hike” outcome at 51.5 percent. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8 percent year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price surges amid geopolitical pressures, while the May employment report showed 172,000 jobs added and unemployment steady at 4.3 percent. With the federal funds rate already at 3.50–3.75 percent, traders price in a data-dependent stance that favors stability unless inflation moderates or growth weakens materially. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting remain the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$1,488,522 वॉल्यूम
$1,488,522 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$1,488,522 वॉल्यूम
$1,488,522 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings and labor market resilience have kept the market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 closely balanced near 50 percent, with the “no hike” outcome at 51.5 percent. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8 percent year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price surges amid geopolitical pressures, while the May employment report showed 172,000 jobs added and unemployment steady at 4.3 percent. With the federal funds rate already at 3.50–3.75 percent, traders price in a data-dependent stance that favors stability unless inflation moderates or growth weakens materially. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting remain the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,488,522समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings and labor market resilience have kept the market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 closely balanced near 50 percent, with the “no hike” outcome at 51.5 percent. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8 percent year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price surges amid geopolitical pressures, while the May employment report showed 172,000 jobs added and unemployment steady at 4.3 percent. With the federal funds rate already at 3.50–3.75 percent, traders price in a data-dependent stance that favors stability unless inflation moderates or growth weakens materially. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting remain the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,488,538समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings and labor market resilience have kept the market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 closely balanced near 50 percent, with the “no hike” outcome at 51.5 percent. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8 percent year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy price surges amid geopolitical pressures, while the May employment report showed 172,000 jobs added and unemployment steady at 4.3 percent. With the federal funds rate already at 3.50–3.75 percent, traders price in a data-dependent stance that favors stability unless inflation moderates or growth weakens materially. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting remain the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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