Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)
$1,313,057 Vol.
Cut–Cut–Cut 100.0%
Cut–Pause–Pause <1%
Cut-Pause-Cut <1%
Pause–Cut–Cut <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
Cut–Cut–Cut
$497,972 Vol.
Yes
Cut–Cut–Cut
$497,972 Vol.
Yes
Cut–Pause–Pause
$244,347 Vol.
No
Cut–Pause–Pause
$244,347 Vol.
No
Cut-Pause-Cut
$140,121 Vol.
No
Cut-Pause-Cut
$140,121 Vol.
No
Pause–Cut–Cut
$70,556 Vol.
No
Pause–Cut–Cut
$70,556 Vol.
No
Pause–Cut–Pause
$48,018 Vol.
No
Pause–Cut–Pause
$48,018 Vol.
No
Cut–Cut–Pause
$312,044 Vol.
No
Cut–Cut–Pause
$312,044 Vol.
No
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in 2025 (September 16-17, October 28-29, and December 9-10).
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
If no statement is released for the December meeting by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in 2025 (September 16-17, October 28-29, and December 9-10).
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
If no statement is released for the December meeting by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Created At: Sep 4, 2025, 8:00 PM UTC
Volume
$1,313,057End Date
Dec 10, 2025Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 8:00 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$1,313,057 Vol.
Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)
Cut–Cut–Cut 100.0%
Cut–Pause–Pause <1%
Cut-Pause-Cut <1%
Pause–Cut–Cut <1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$497,972 Vol.
Yes
Cut–Pause–Pause
$244,347 Vol.
No
Cut-Pause-Cut
$140,121 Vol.
No
Pause–Cut–Cut
$70,556 Vol.
No
Pause–Cut–Pause
$48,018 Vol.
No
Cut–Cut–Pause
$312,044 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$1,313,057End Date
Dec 10, 2025Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 8:00 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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