ECB Interest Rates: September 2025
No change 100.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$2,262,123 Vol.
$2,262,123 Vol.
Sep 11, 2025
50+ bps decrease
$969,488 Vol.
No
50+ bps decrease
$969,488 Vol.
No
25 bps decrease
$371,454 Vol.
No
25 bps decrease
$371,454 Vol.
No
No change
$397,307 Vol.
Yes
No change
$397,307 Vol.
Yes
Increase
$523,874 Vol.
No
Increase
$523,874 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) September 2025 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its September 11, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the September 11, 2025 meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by October 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) September 2025 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its September 11, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the September 11, 2025 meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by October 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its September 11, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the September 11, 2025 meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by October 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Created At: Jul 24, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Volume
$2,262,123End Date
Sep 11, 2025Created At
Jul 24, 2025, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
ECB Interest Rates: September 2025
No change 100.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$2,262,123 Vol.
$2,262,123 Vol.
Sep 11, 2025
50+ bps decrease
$969,488 Vol.
No
25 bps decrease
$371,454 Vol.
No
No change
$397,307 Vol.
Yes
Increase
$523,874 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$2,262,123End Date
Sep 11, 2025Created At
Jul 24, 2025, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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