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ECB Interest Rates: October 2025

$1,777,269 Vol.

No change 100.0%

50+ bps decrease <1%

25 bps decrease <1%

Increase <1%

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2025 meeting.

If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its October 30, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the October 30, 2025 meeting.

If no interest rate decision or update is published by December 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Volume
$1,777,269
End Date
Oct 30, 2025
Created At
Aug 20, 2025, 7:23 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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$1,777,269 Vol.

Market icon

ECB Interest Rates: October 2025

No change 100.0%

50+ bps decrease <1%

25 bps decrease <1%

Increase <1%

50+ bps decrease

$844,536 Vol.

No

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25 bps decrease

$219,461 Vol.

No

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No change

$231,653 Vol.

Yes

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Increase

$481,618 Vol.

No

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About

Volume
$1,777,269
End Date
Oct 30, 2025
Created At
Aug 20, 2025, 7:23 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.