Market icon

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$76,938 Vol.

1.00–1.04ºC 61%

<1.00ºC 17%

1.05–1.09ºC 16%

1.10–1.14ºC 5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$76,938
End Date
Jan 10, 2026
Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTC
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$76,938 Vol.

Market icon

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.00–1.04ºC 61%

<1.00ºC 17%

1.05–1.09ºC 16%

1.10–1.14ºC 5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<1.00ºC

$14,502 Vol.

17%

1.00–1.04ºC

$6,005 Vol.

61%

1.05–1.09ºC

$6,440 Vol.

16%

1.10–1.14ºC

$4,003 Vol.

5%

1.15–1.19ºC

$5,210 Vol.

1%

>1.19ºC

$40,778 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$76,938
End Date
Jan 10, 2026
Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 11:19 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.