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icon for Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

icon for Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$15,603 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$15,603 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$15,603
終了日
2024/07/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 27, 2024, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$15,603
終了日
2024/07/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 27, 2024, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

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よくある質問

「Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?」は$15.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 27, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。