Scottie Scheffler's defending champion status and league-leading ball-striking stats drive his frontrunner 17.5% implied probability in the Augusta National Invitational winner market, reflecting trader consensus on his Augusta mastery with back-to-back top finishes. In a wide-open field, Rory McIlroy's 8.5% share stems from career grand slam pursuit and elite driving distance, tempered by spotty putting. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains traction via power approaches suiting par-5s, while Jon Rahm (6.3%) leverages 2023 green jacket experience despite LIV form questions. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) intrigues with breakout potential, as odds weigh recent signature event results, scrambling ability, and course history amid mild weather forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.0%
$52,998,581 Vol.
$52,998,581 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.0%
$52,998,581 Vol.
$52,998,581 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's defending champion status and league-leading ball-striking stats drive his frontrunner 17.5% implied probability in the Augusta National Invitational winner market, reflecting trader consensus on his Augusta mastery with back-to-back top finishes. In a wide-open field, Rory McIlroy's 8.5% share stems from career grand slam pursuit and elite driving distance, tempered by spotty putting. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains traction via power approaches suiting par-5s, while Jon Rahm (6.3%) leverages 2023 green jacket experience despite LIV form questions. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) intrigues with breakout potential, as odds weigh recent signature event results, scrambling ability, and course history amid mild weather forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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