Scottie Scheffler's commanding 17.5% implied probability leads trader consensus for the Masters at Augusta National, driven by his defending champion status, elite ball-striking (top-ranked in Strokes Gained: Approach), and two wins already in 2025, including strong par-5 scoring that exploits Augusta's layout. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5%, fueled by career Grand Slam pursuit and recent hot irons, though his Augusta putting inconsistencies cap enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains from power off the tee and LIV momentum, while Jon Rahm (5.9%) relies on 2023 course history amid uneven PGA Tour returns. In this wide-open field, differentiators hinge on precision approaches, short-game creativity amid firm greens, and weather-resilient form—no major injuries reported shift the landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 5.9%
$53,327,857 Vol.
$53,327,857 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 5.9%
$53,327,857 Vol.
$53,327,857 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's commanding 17.5% implied probability leads trader consensus for the Masters at Augusta National, driven by his defending champion status, elite ball-striking (top-ranked in Strokes Gained: Approach), and two wins already in 2025, including strong par-5 scoring that exploits Augusta's layout. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5%, fueled by career Grand Slam pursuit and recent hot irons, though his Augusta putting inconsistencies cap enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains from power off the tee and LIV momentum, while Jon Rahm (5.9%) relies on 2023 course history amid uneven PGA Tour returns. In this wide-open field, differentiators hinge on precision approaches, short-game creativity amid firm greens, and weather-resilient form—no major injuries reported shift the landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions