Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and proven Augusta mastery, including his 2024 victory and top finishes in recent years, anchor his 17.5% implied probability as traders' clear favorite in this wide-open Masters field. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% buoyed by superior driving distance and early 2025 momentum, though his spotty putting history at Augusta tempers enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains from power off the tee and major prowess like his 2024 U.S. Open win, while Jon Rahm (5.9%) leverages strong course history despite LIV Golf form questions. Rising Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses with iron play from his stellar 2024 debut, and Xander Schauffele (4.9%) offers steady major contention; no major injuries alter the mix, but firm greens favor precision scramblers over pure bombers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$53,197,293 Vol.
$53,197,293 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$53,197,293 Vol.
$53,197,293 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and proven Augusta mastery, including his 2024 victory and top finishes in recent years, anchor his 17.5% implied probability as traders' clear favorite in this wide-open Masters field. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% buoyed by superior driving distance and early 2025 momentum, though his spotty putting history at Augusta tempers enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains from power off the tee and major prowess like his 2024 U.S. Open win, while Jon Rahm (5.9%) leverages strong course history despite LIV Golf form questions. Rising Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses with iron play from his stellar 2024 debut, and Xander Schauffele (4.9%) offers steady major contention; no major injuries alter the mix, but firm greens favor precision scramblers over pure bombers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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