Scottie Scheffler's recent dominance in tee-to-green stats and Augusta mastery as defending champion anchors trader consensus at 16.5% implied probability, bolstered by his Players Championship victory and top finishes in approach play at similar courses. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% amid career Grand Slam pressure, strong early-season ball-striking, but historical Augusta putting woes; Jon Rahm (6.6%) leverages 2023 win and LIV consistency, while Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains from prodigious driving suited to Augusta's lengthening layout. Ludvig Aberg (5.5%) and Xander Schauffele (5.2%) differentiate via runner-up finishes in majors and precise iron play, in a wide-open field where short-game prowess and course history often trump raw power amid firm greens and swirling winds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Jon Rahm 6.6%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
$55,162,059 Vol.
$55,162,059 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Jon Rahm 6.6%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
$55,162,059 Vol.
$55,162,059 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's recent dominance in tee-to-green stats and Augusta mastery as defending champion anchors trader consensus at 16.5% implied probability, bolstered by his Players Championship victory and top finishes in approach play at similar courses. Rory McIlroy trails at 8.5% amid career Grand Slam pressure, strong early-season ball-striking, but historical Augusta putting woes; Jon Rahm (6.6%) leverages 2023 win and LIV consistency, while Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) gains from prodigious driving suited to Augusta's lengthening layout. Ludvig Aberg (5.5%) and Xander Schauffele (5.2%) differentiate via runner-up finishes in majors and precise iron play, in a wide-open field where short-game prowess and course history often trump raw power amid firm greens and swirling winds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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