Name: Airdrops in Q3 2025
Start: 2025-05-27T19:09:08.639542Z
End: 2025-09-30T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between July 1, 12:00 AM and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the named entity's team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between July 1, 12:00 AM and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the named entity's team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Farcaster

Pump.fun

MetaMask

Avail

PartyDAO

Linea

Base

Rainbow

Aleo

Rabby

Astaria

Jumper

Airdrops

Airdrops in Q3 2025

This is a market on the likelihood and outcomes of cryptocurrency airdrops occurring in 2024.

Airdrops in 2024

This is a market on the likelihood of cryptocurrency airdrops occurring by September 30.

Airdrops by September 30?

Airdrops by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between April 1, 12:00 AM and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the named entity's team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Airdrops in Q2 2025

This is a market on the likelihood and specifics of airdrop events occurring in the first quarter of 2025.

Airdrops in Q1 2025

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 25, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Base Airdrop occurs
- Metamask Airdrop occurs
- OpenSea Airdrop occurs
- Pump.fun Airdrop occurs

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/airdrop.png

Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla (TSLA) achieves a daily high price greater than 488.5399 USD during market hours by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the respective company’s intraday high quotes during the specified timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Nasdaq website for the relevant ticker (https://www.nasdaq.com/), specifically the 'Today's High/Low' figure on the main page, as well as the 'High' column on the Historical Quotes page.

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between November 3 12:30PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.

Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- A hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A megaquake occurs

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Natural+Disaster+Edition.pdf 

Airdrops in Q3 2025

Farcaster
$12,139 Vol.
No

Pump.fun
$196,066 Vol.
No

MetaMask
$161,374 Vol.
No

Avail
$9,416 Vol.
No

PartyDAO
$5,965 Vol.
No

Linea
$591,365 Vol.
Yes

Base
$129,094 Vol.
No

Rainbow
$9,925 Vol.
No

Aleo
$5,228 Vol.
No

Rabby
$46,025 Vol.
No

Astaria
$8,595 Vol.
No

Jumper
$25,287 Vol.
No

Market Context

Airdrops in Q3 2025

Rules

Airdrops in Q3 2025

Market Context

Airdrops in Q3 2025

About

Related

Airdrops in Q3 2025

Farcaster$12,139 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Pump.fun$196,066 Vol.Nocircle xmark

MetaMask$161,374 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Avail$9,416 Vol.Nocircle xmark

PartyDAO$5,965 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Linea$591,365 Vol.Yescircle check

Base$129,094 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Rainbow$9,925 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Aleo$5,228 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Rabby$46,025 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Astaria$8,595 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Jumper$25,287 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Airdrops in Q3 2025

Rules

Airdrops in Q3 2025

Market Context

Airdrops in Q3 2025

About

Related

Farcaster
$12,139 Vol.
No

Pump.fun
$196,066 Vol.
No

MetaMask
$161,374 Vol.
No

Avail
$9,416 Vol.
No

PartyDAO
$5,965 Vol.
No

Linea
$591,365 Vol.
Yes

Base
$129,094 Vol.
No

Rainbow
$9,925 Vol.
No

Aleo
$5,228 Vol.
No

Rabby
$46,025 Vol.
No

Astaria
$8,595 Vol.
No

Jumper
$25,287 Vol.
No