**Traders have converged on the 160-179 bracket at 59.5% implied probability** because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 20-25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day. This window’s early September data shows mixed daily output—lower-volume stretches in the 40-64 range alongside steadier periods—aligning with historical weekly totals that frequently land in the mid-160s when no major Tesla announcement, policy controversy, or viral cultural moment accelerates activity. With the market closing September 11 and roughly 122 posts recorded through September 9-10, the current pace points to a finish inside that leading band absent an unexpected late-week surge. The 140-159 and 180-199 brackets trail as secondary possibilities if volume dips or spikes on the final day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 60%
140-159 24.4%
180-199 15%
200-219 1.8%
$1,445,257 Vol.
$1,445,257 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
24%
160-179
60%
180-199
15%
200-219
2%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 60%
140-159 24.4%
180-199 15%
200-219 1.8%
$1,445,257 Vol.
$1,445,257 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
120-139
$217,469 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$193,831 Vol.
24%
160-179
$85,403 Vol.
60%
180-199
$85,847 Vol.
15%
200-219
$92,304 Vol.
2%
220-239
$76,870 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$68,241 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$71,759 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$60,441 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$64,181 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$54,312 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$35,431 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$24,743 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$28,036 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$23,030 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$14,382 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$6,236 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$7,410 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$6,988 Vol.
<1%
500+
$54,827 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders have converged on the 160-179 bracket at 59.5% implied probability** because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 20-25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day. This window’s early September data shows mixed daily output—lower-volume stretches in the 40-64 range alongside steadier periods—aligning with historical weekly totals that frequently land in the mid-160s when no major Tesla announcement, policy controversy, or viral cultural moment accelerates activity.
With the market closing September 11 and roughly 122 posts recorded through September 9-10, the current pace points to a finish inside that leading band absent an unexpected late-week surge. The 140-159 and 180-199 brackets trail as secondary possibilities if volume dips or spikes on the final day.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,445,257End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders have converged on the 160-179 bracket at 59.5% implied probability** because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 20-25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day. This window’s early September data shows mixed daily output—lower-volume stretches in the 40-64 range alongside steadier periods—aligning with historical weekly totals that frequently land in the mid-160s when no major Tesla announcement, policy controversy, or viral cultural moment accelerates activity.
With the market closing September 11 and roughly 122 posts recorded through September 9-10, the current pace points to a finish inside that leading band absent an unexpected late-week surge. The 140-159 and 180-199 brackets trail as secondary possibilities if volume dips or spikes on the final day.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,445,257End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on the 160-179 bracket at 59.5% implied probability** because Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 20-25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day. This window’s early September data shows mixed daily output—lower-volume stretches in the 40-64 range alongside steadier periods—aligning with historical weekly totals that frequently land in the mid-160s when no major Tesla announcement, policy controversy, or viral cultural moment accelerates activity. With the market closing September 11 and roughly 122 posts recorded through September 9-10, the current pace points to a finish inside that leading band absent an unexpected late-week surge. The 140-159 and 180-199 brackets trail as secondary possibilities if volume dips or spikes on the final day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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