Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon women's singles title, driven by her world No. 1 dominance, recent Indian Wells triumph over Elena Rybakina, and power serve thriving on grass surfaces. Rybakina trails at 15.5% on her 2022 Wimbledon win, Australian Open 2026 crown, and flat-hitting style suited to fast courts, though recent Dubai illness retirement raises health flags. Iga Świątek sits at 16.4% post her stunning 6-0, 6-0 2025 Wimbledon final rout of Amanda Anisimova—elevating the American to 5.9%—but her slide to No. 4 reflects hard-court dips despite improved grass adaptation. Coco Gauff's No. 3 ranking bolsters her 5.5% share in this competitive, wide-open field ahead of the June grass swing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.8%
$4,596,040 Vol.
$4,596,040 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Madison Keys
2%
Barbora Krejčíková
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Clara Tauson
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.8%
$4,596,040 Vol.
$4,596,040 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Madison Keys
2%
Barbora Krejčíková
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Clara Tauson
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon women's singles title, driven by her world No. 1 dominance, recent Indian Wells triumph over Elena Rybakina, and power serve thriving on grass surfaces. Rybakina trails at 15.5% on her 2022 Wimbledon win, Australian Open 2026 crown, and flat-hitting style suited to fast courts, though recent Dubai illness retirement raises health flags. Iga Świątek sits at 16.4% post her stunning 6-0, 6-0 2025 Wimbledon final rout of Amanda Anisimova—elevating the American to 5.9%—but her slide to No. 4 reflects hard-court dips despite improved grass adaptation. Coco Gauff's No. 3 ranking bolsters her 5.5% share in this competitive, wide-open field ahead of the June grass swing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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