Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26.5% implied probability, driven by her sustained world No. 1 dominance with a 23-1 record and three titles already in 2026, including recent clay-court triumphs over Elena Rybakina in Indian Wells and Miami that underscore her baseline power and serve ideally suited to grass. Rybakina trails closely at 15.5%, buoyed by her 2022 Wimbledon title, Australian Open 2026 win, and ongoing No. 2 pursuit amid stylistic edges like her massive serve on fast turf. Iga Świątek's 16.3% reflects overall elite form but persistent grass limitations, capped at quarterfinals historically. The wide-open field elevates risers like Amanda Anisimova (career-high No. 4, despite recent Charleston withdrawal) and prospects Mirra Andreeva, Victoria Mboko for potential upsets on the unpredictable surface.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.9%
$4,596,083 Vol.
$4,596,083 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Madison Keys
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Barbora Krejčíková
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.9%
$4,596,083 Vol.
$4,596,083 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Madison Keys
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Barbora Krejčíková
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26.5% implied probability, driven by her sustained world No. 1 dominance with a 23-1 record and three titles already in 2026, including recent clay-court triumphs over Elena Rybakina in Indian Wells and Miami that underscore her baseline power and serve ideally suited to grass. Rybakina trails closely at 15.5%, buoyed by her 2022 Wimbledon title, Australian Open 2026 win, and ongoing No. 2 pursuit amid stylistic edges like her massive serve on fast turf. Iga Świątek's 16.3% reflects overall elite form but persistent grass limitations, capped at quarterfinals historically. The wide-open field elevates risers like Amanda Anisimova (career-high No. 4, despite recent Charleston withdrawal) and prospects Mirra Andreeva, Victoria Mboko for potential upsets on the unpredictable surface.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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