Elena Rybakina tops trader consensus at 28% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon crown, her explosive serve and 2022 title on grass giving her an edge on the fast surface, yet Aryna Sabalenka (22%) and Iga Świątek (21.8%) keep odds bunched with their tour-leading power and consistency. Krejčíková's shock 2024 victory amid top-seed flameouts—Swiatek's third-round exit, Sabalenka's injury withdrawal, Rybakina's illness—forces parity, as no champion has repeated since Serena Williams amid frequent upsets and draw volatility. Injury histories and grass struggles for clay specialists like Świątek heighten uncertainty, while rising teens like Andreeva add wildcard pressure to the pecking order.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElena Rybakina 28%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 21.4%
Coco Gauff 5%
$1,937,373 Vol.
$1,937,373 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
28%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
21%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Navarro
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Elena Rybakina 28%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 21.4%
Coco Gauff 5%
$1,937,373 Vol.
$1,937,373 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
28%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
21%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Navarro
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elena Rybakina tops trader consensus at 28% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon crown, her explosive serve and 2022 title on grass giving her an edge on the fast surface, yet Aryna Sabalenka (22%) and Iga Świątek (21.8%) keep odds bunched with their tour-leading power and consistency. Krejčíková's shock 2024 victory amid top-seed flameouts—Swiatek's third-round exit, Sabalenka's injury withdrawal, Rybakina's illness—forces parity, as no champion has repeated since Serena Williams amid frequent upsets and draw volatility. Injury histories and grass struggles for clay specialists like Świątek heighten uncertainty, while rising teens like Andreeva add wildcard pressure to the pecking order.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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