Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26% implied probability, reflecting her explosive serve and repeated deep grass-court runs, including semifinals in 2021 and 2023, bolstered by her consistent top rankings and hard-court dominance this season. Iga Świątek trails at 16% due to her overall world No. 1 supremacy but historical grass struggles, capped at quarterfinals. Elena Rybakina's 14.5% stems from her 2022 title and big-hitting style suited to the surface, despite recent injury setbacks. Rising 16-year-old Victoria Mboko's 13.6% surged after her dominant July 2024 junior Wimbledon win, highlighting prodigious grass potential in a wide-open field prone to upsets and form shifts over two years.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 25%
Iga Świątek 15.7%
Elena Rybakina 15%
Victoria Mboko 13.6%
$2,059,332 Vol.
$2,059,332 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Victoria Mboko
14%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Iga Świątek 15.7%
Elena Rybakina 15%
Victoria Mboko 13.6%
$2,059,332 Vol.
$2,059,332 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Victoria Mboko
14%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26% implied probability, reflecting her explosive serve and repeated deep grass-court runs, including semifinals in 2021 and 2023, bolstered by her consistent top rankings and hard-court dominance this season. Iga Świątek trails at 16% due to her overall world No. 1 supremacy but historical grass struggles, capped at quarterfinals. Elena Rybakina's 14.5% stems from her 2022 title and big-hitting style suited to the surface, despite recent injury setbacks. Rising 16-year-old Victoria Mboko's 13.6% surged after her dominant July 2024 junior Wimbledon win, highlighting prodigious grass potential in a wide-open field prone to upsets and form shifts over two years.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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