Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the 26% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, buoyed by her explosive power game thriving on grass—highlighted by strong showings in recent grass lead-ups—and her US Open 2024 victory cementing top form. Iga Świątek trails at 18.3% despite No. 1 ranking, as her clay-dominant style has yielded just one Wimbledon quarterfinal amid ongoing grass adaptation challenges. Elena Rybakina's 16.5% reflects her 2022 Grand Slam win and serving edge on the surface, tempered by recent illness forcing pre-US Open withdrawal. This bunched top tier signals a wide-open grass-court landscape prone to upsets, like Barbora Krejčíková's 2024 shock triumph, with injury recoveries, surface specialists, and rising stars like Victoria Mboko injecting volatility over the two-year horizon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 17%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$2,570,279 Vol.
$2,570,279 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 17%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$2,570,279 Vol.
$2,570,279 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the 26% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, buoyed by her explosive power game thriving on grass—highlighted by strong showings in recent grass lead-ups—and her US Open 2024 victory cementing top form. Iga Świątek trails at 18.3% despite No. 1 ranking, as her clay-dominant style has yielded just one Wimbledon quarterfinal amid ongoing grass adaptation challenges. Elena Rybakina's 16.5% reflects her 2022 Grand Slam win and serving edge on the surface, tempered by recent illness forcing pre-US Open withdrawal. This bunched top tier signals a wide-open grass-court landscape prone to upsets, like Barbora Krejčíková's 2024 shock triumph, with injury recoveries, surface specialists, and rising stars like Victoria Mboko injecting volatility over the two-year horizon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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