Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25.5% implied probability, driven by her explosive power game and serve that exploits grass speeds, reinforced by recent Grand Slam finals appearances despite past All England Club quarterfinal exits. Iga Świątek trails at 17.9% amid her world No. 1 ranking and clay dominance, but persistent grass-court struggles—evident in early Wimbledon exits—cap her pricing. Elena Rybakina's 16.0% reflects her 2022 title and flat-hitting prowess suited to the surface, though injuries linger as a concern. The bunched top three underscores grass's volatility, highlighted by Barbora Krejčíková's surprise 2024 win from outside the top 30 and Jasmine Paolini's runner-up surge, with 18 months of rankings flux, injuries, and emerging talents like Victoria Mboko keeping the field wide open.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 17.9%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$1,839,211 Vol.
$1,839,211 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 17.9%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$1,839,211 Vol.
$1,839,211 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25.5% implied probability, driven by her explosive power game and serve that exploits grass speeds, reinforced by recent Grand Slam finals appearances despite past All England Club quarterfinal exits. Iga Świątek trails at 17.9% amid her world No. 1 ranking and clay dominance, but persistent grass-court struggles—evident in early Wimbledon exits—cap her pricing. Elena Rybakina's 16.0% reflects her 2022 title and flat-hitting prowess suited to the surface, though injuries linger as a concern. The bunched top three underscores grass's volatility, highlighted by Barbora Krejčíková's surprise 2024 win from outside the top 30 and Jasmine Paolini's runner-up surge, with 18 months of rankings flux, injuries, and emerging talents like Victoria Mboko keeping the field wide open.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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