Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 24.5% implied probability, driven by her explosive serve, flat groundstrokes, and deep major runs on grass—including Wimbledon semifinals in 2021 and quarters in 2023—despite missing the 2024 edition due to shoulder injury recovery. Rising Canadian teen Victoria Mboko (16.3%) draws bets on her prodigious junior success, including Wimbledon girls' doubles titles and early pro breakthroughs on fast surfaces, signaling high-upside potential. Iga Świątek (16.1%) trails closely on world No. 1 dominance but limited grass prowess, with just one major past quarterfinal there. Elena Rybakina (14.5%) leverages her 2022 title and potent serve, differentiating leaders in a wide-open field vulnerable to injuries, rankings flux, and surface specialists over the next 18 months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 25%
Iga Świątek 15.8%
Victoria Mboko 14.8%
Elena Rybakina 15%
$2,298,097 Vol.
$2,298,097 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
15%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Iga Świątek 15.8%
Victoria Mboko 14.8%
Elena Rybakina 15%
$2,298,097 Vol.
$2,298,097 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
15%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 24.5% implied probability, driven by her explosive serve, flat groundstrokes, and deep major runs on grass—including Wimbledon semifinals in 2021 and quarters in 2023—despite missing the 2024 edition due to shoulder injury recovery. Rising Canadian teen Victoria Mboko (16.3%) draws bets on her prodigious junior success, including Wimbledon girls' doubles titles and early pro breakthroughs on fast surfaces, signaling high-upside potential. Iga Świątek (16.1%) trails closely on world No. 1 dominance but limited grass prowess, with just one major past quarterfinal there. Elena Rybakina (14.5%) leverages her 2022 title and potent serve, differentiating leaders in a wide-open field vulnerable to injuries, rankings flux, and surface specialists over the next 18 months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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