Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26% implied probability, buoyed by her world No. 2 ranking, powerful serve, and grass-court prowess despite a pre-quarterfinal shoulder injury withdrawal at the 2024 edition. Iga Świątek trails at 18.3% amid persistent surface struggles, evident in her third-round loss to Yulia Putintseva last week, while Elena Rybakina's 16.5% reflects her 2022 title defense potential and recent quarterfinal run. The tight top trio underscores grass-court volatility and a deep field, amplified by 16-year-old qualifier Victoria Mboko's breakout fourth-round appearance, fueling her 5.5% share as an emerging talent in this long-term Grand Slam futures market two years out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 17%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$2,570,636 Vol.
$2,570,636 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 17%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$2,570,636 Vol.
$2,570,636 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26% implied probability, buoyed by her world No. 2 ranking, powerful serve, and grass-court prowess despite a pre-quarterfinal shoulder injury withdrawal at the 2024 edition. Iga Świątek trails at 18.3% amid persistent surface struggles, evident in her third-round loss to Yulia Putintseva last week, while Elena Rybakina's 16.5% reflects her 2022 title defense potential and recent quarterfinal run. The tight top trio underscores grass-court volatility and a deep field, amplified by 16-year-old qualifier Victoria Mboko's breakout fourth-round appearance, fueling her 5.5% share as an emerging talent in this long-term Grand Slam futures market two years out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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