Elena Rybakina holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 28% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, driven by her towering serve and 2022 title on the fast grass at the All-England Club, where she boasts a superior head-to-head edge over rivals. Aryna Sabalenka (22%) and Iga Świątek (21.4%) trail closely, reflecting Sabalenka's explosive power suiting the low-bouncing surface despite recent shoulder woes, and Świątek's overall dominance tempered by grass inconsistencies, including early 2024 Wimbledon exit. The bunched top tier underscores volatile dynamics: injury risks, young risers like Mirra Andreeva injecting upside, and two full seasons of form shifts keeping the wisdom of crowds cautious amid grass specialists' narrow advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedIga Świątek 27.9%
Elena Rybakina 27%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 5%
$1,937,373 Vol.
$1,937,373 Vol.
Iga Świątek
23%
Elena Rybakina
27%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Navarro
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Iga Świątek 27.9%
Elena Rybakina 27%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 5%
$1,937,373 Vol.
$1,937,373 Vol.
Iga Świątek
23%
Elena Rybakina
27%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Navarro
2%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Leylah Fernandez
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elena Rybakina holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 28% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, driven by her towering serve and 2022 title on the fast grass at the All-England Club, where she boasts a superior head-to-head edge over rivals. Aryna Sabalenka (22%) and Iga Świątek (21.4%) trail closely, reflecting Sabalenka's explosive power suiting the low-bouncing surface despite recent shoulder woes, and Świątek's overall dominance tempered by grass inconsistencies, including early 2024 Wimbledon exit. The bunched top tier underscores volatile dynamics: injury risks, young risers like Mirra Andreeva injecting upside, and two full seasons of form shifts keeping the wisdom of crowds cautious amid grass specialists' narrow advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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