Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by Iga Świątek (18%) and Elena Rybakina (16.5%), reflecting a highly competitive grass-court field with no dominant force amid surface-specific challenges. Sabalenka's powerful baseline game and recent WTA Finals title bolster her edge after reclaiming world No. 1, while Rybakina's proven Wimbledon pedigree—including her 2022 Grand Slam triumph—and strong serve on grass keep her prominent despite inconsistent hard-court form. Świątek's overall dominance is tempered by historical grass struggles, capped at quarterfinals. Rising prospects like 16-year-old Victoria Mboko (5.5%), fresh off junior breakthroughs and upsets over top seeds, add volatility, underscoring the market's tight dynamics driven by injury risks, form fluctuations, and grass's fast, low-bounce demands over the next 18 months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 17%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$1,997,332 Vol.
$1,997,332 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 17%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$1,997,332 Vol.
$1,997,332 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by Iga Świątek (18%) and Elena Rybakina (16.5%), reflecting a highly competitive grass-court field with no dominant force amid surface-specific challenges. Sabalenka's powerful baseline game and recent WTA Finals title bolster her edge after reclaiming world No. 1, while Rybakina's proven Wimbledon pedigree—including her 2022 Grand Slam triumph—and strong serve on grass keep her prominent despite inconsistent hard-court form. Świątek's overall dominance is tempered by historical grass struggles, capped at quarterfinals. Rising prospects like 16-year-old Victoria Mboko (5.5%), fresh off junior breakthroughs and upsets over top seeds, add volatility, underscoring the market's tight dynamics driven by injury risks, form fluctuations, and grass's fast, low-bounce demands over the next 18 months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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