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2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

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2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

UCLA 100.0%

South Carolina <1%

Kentucky <1%

Texas A&M <1%

Polymarket

$229,642 Vol.

UCLA 100.0%

South Carolina <1%

Kentucky <1%

Texas A&M <1%

Polymarket

$229,642 Vol.

South Carolina

$41,018 Vol.

No

Kentucky

$5,425 Vol.

No

Texas A&M

$0 Vol.

No

Texas

$25,793 Vol.

No

Vanderbilt

$17,169 Vol.

No

Arkansas

$0 Vol.

No

Ole Miss

$0 Vol.

No

Florida

$0 Vol.

No

Baylor

$0 Vol.

No

Charleston

$0 Vol.

No

Colorado

$0 Vol.

No

Duke

$10,792 Vol.

No

Fairfield

$0 Vol.

No

High Point

$0 Vol.

No

Howard

$0 Vol.

No

Illinois

$0 Vol.

No

Iowa State

$0 Vol.

No

James Madison

$0 Vol.

No

Maryland

$0 Vol.

No

Michigan

$14,674 Vol.

No

Minnesota

$8,239 Vol.

No

Murray State

$0 Vol.

No

Nebraska

$0 Vol.

No

Notre Dame

$5,595 Vol.

No

Oklahoma State

$0 Vol.

No

Princeton

$0 Vol.

No

Richmond

$0 Vol.

No

Southern

$0 Vol.

No

Syracuse

$0 Vol.

No

Texas Tech

$0 Vol.

No

UCLA

$17,134 Vol.

Yes

USC

$0 Vol.

No

Villanova

$0 Vol.

No

Virginia Tech

$0 Vol.

No

West Virginia

$0 Vol.

No

Wisconsin-Green Bay

$0 Vol.

No

LSU

$16,477 Vol.

No

Georgia

$0 Vol.

No

Mississippi St.

$0 Vol.

No

Oklahoma

$4,963 Vol.

No

Missouri

$0 Vol.

No

Tennessee

$1,382 Vol.

No

Alabama

$0 Vol.

No

Auburn

$2,193 Vol.

No

Arizona State

$1,458 Vol.

No

Cal Baptist

$0 Vol.

No

Clemson

$0 Vol.

No

Colorado State

$0 Vol.

No

Fairleigh Dickinson

$0 Vol.

No

Gonzaga

$0 Vol.

No

Holy Cross

$0 Vol.

No

Idaho

$0 Vol.

No

Iowa

$0 Vol.

No

Jacksonville

$756 Vol.

No

Louisville

$6,867 Vol.

No

Miami (OH)

$0 Vol.

No

Michigan State

$0 Vol.

No

Missouri State

$0 Vol.

No

NC State

$0 Vol.

No

North Carolina

$2,216 Vol.

No

Ohio State

$0 Vol.

No

Oregon

$0 Vol.

No

Rhode Island

$0 Vol.

No

Samford

$0 Vol.

No

South Dakota State

$0 Vol.

No

Stephen F. Austin

$0 Vol.

No

TCU

$9,607 Vol.

No

UC San Diego

$0 Vol.

No

UConn

$34,510 Vol.

No

UTSA

$0 Vol.

No

Vermont

$0 Vol.

No

Virginia

$3,373 Vol.

No

Washington

$0 Vol.

No

Western Illinois

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.UCLA's dominant 79-51 victory over top-seeded South Carolina in the 2026 NCAA women's national championship on April 5 clinched the Bruins' first title in program history, driving Polymarket trader consensus to 100% implied probability. No. 1 seed UCLA navigated a challenging March Madness bracket, including a gritty 51-44 Final Four win over Texas, fueled by stifling defense and Lauren Betts' standout play that earned her Most Outstanding Player honors under coach Cori Close. South Carolina's earlier upset of UConn fizzled in the title game amid UCLA's offensive firepower. With the official NCAA outcome confirmed, no realistic challenges—such as injuries, protests, or reversals—remain to alter the resolved market.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$229,642
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.UCLA's dominant 79-51 victory over top-seeded South Carolina in the 2026 NCAA women's national championship on April 5 clinched the Bruins' first title in program history, driving Polymarket trader consensus to 100% implied probability. No. 1 seed UCLA navigated a challenging March Madness bracket, including a gritty 51-44 Final Four win over Texas, fueled by stifling defense and Lauren Betts' standout play that earned her Most Outstanding Player honors under coach Cori Close. South Carolina's earlier upset of UConn fizzled in the title game amid UCLA's offensive firepower. With the official NCAA outcome confirmed, no realistic challenges—such as injuries, protests, or reversals—remain to alter the resolved market.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volume
$229,642
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 74+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "UCLA" at 100%, followed by "South Carolina" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" has generated $229.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner," browse the 74+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" is "UCLA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "South Carolina" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.