Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 45.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women’s Miami Open, propelled by her dominant hard-court form capped by the US Open 2024 title and prior Miami final appearance in 2022, underscoring her WTA 1000 mastery on fast surfaces. Elena Rybakina trails at 23.5%, her big-serving style thriving in Miami conditions amid recent quarterfinal-plus runs despite past injury interruptions. Coco Gauff sits at 14%, buoyed by her US Open semifinal finish, youth, and home-crowd edge as a Florida-based American with solid hard-court progression. Karolina Muchova rounds out leaders at 11.2%, her Wimbledon 2024 final signaling a post-injury resurgence, though hard-court reliability remains key for the Czech veteran.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
Aryna Sabalenka 45%
Elena Rybakina 24%
Coco Gauff 14%
Karolina Muchova 10.9%
$69,376 Vol.
$69,376 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
45%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Coco Gauff
14%
Karolina Muchova
11%
Aryna Sabalenka 45%
Elena Rybakina 24%
Coco Gauff 14%
Karolina Muchova 10.9%
$69,376 Vol.
$69,376 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
45%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Coco Gauff
14%
Karolina Muchova
11%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 45.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women’s Miami Open, propelled by her dominant hard-court form capped by the US Open 2024 title and prior Miami final appearance in 2022, underscoring her WTA 1000 mastery on fast surfaces. Elena Rybakina trails at 23.5%, her big-serving style thriving in Miami conditions amid recent quarterfinal-plus runs despite past injury interruptions. Coco Gauff sits at 14%, buoyed by her US Open semifinal finish, youth, and home-crowd edge as a Florida-based American with solid hard-court progression. Karolina Muchova rounds out leaders at 11.2%, her Wimbledon 2024 final signaling a post-injury resurgence, though hard-court reliability remains key for the Czech veteran.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions