Iga Świątek's clay-court dominance, marked by four French Open triumphs since 2020 including her 2024 title run, underpins her leading 27.5% implied probability, but Aryna Sabalenka's nearby 21% highlights her improving red-dirt results and all-surface power despite a pre-2024 Roland Garros injury withdrawal. Coco Gauff's 10% stake captures her breakout potential and youth edge at 22 by 2026. Trader sentiment stays tight amid women's tennis parity, rising teens like Mirra Andreeva (4.8%), resurgent returns such as Amanda Anisimova (2.5%), and two-year uncertainties in health, form, and Olympic momentum spillover, where historical upsets on slow clay often defy favorites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedIga Świątek 29%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 11%
Elena Rybakina 7.7%
$1,313,778 Vol.
$1,313,778 Vol.
Iga Świątek
29%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
11%
Elena Rybakina
8%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 29%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 11%
Elena Rybakina 7.7%
$1,313,778 Vol.
$1,313,778 Vol.
Iga Świątek
29%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
11%
Elena Rybakina
8%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iga Świątek's clay-court dominance, marked by four French Open triumphs since 2020 including her 2024 title run, underpins her leading 27.5% implied probability, but Aryna Sabalenka's nearby 21% highlights her improving red-dirt results and all-surface power despite a pre-2024 Roland Garros injury withdrawal. Coco Gauff's 10% stake captures her breakout potential and youth edge at 22 by 2026. Trader sentiment stays tight amid women's tennis parity, rising teens like Mirra Andreeva (4.8%), resurgent returns such as Amanda Anisimova (2.5%), and two-year uncertainties in health, form, and Olympic momentum spillover, where historical upsets on slow clay often defy favorites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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