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Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 83%

Darryn Peterson 16%

Cameron Boozer 1.6%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Polymarket

$382,949 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa 83%

Darryn Peterson 16%

Cameron Boozer 1.6%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Polymarket

$382,949 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa

$215,203 Vol.

83%

Darryn Peterson

$72,835 Vol.

16%

Cameron Boozer

$64,161 Vol.

2%

Caleb Wilson

$15,976 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Quaintance

$2,615 Vol.

<1%

Koa Peat

$3,118 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$2,640 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$4,241 Vol.

<1%

Tounde Yessoufou

$2,160 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.AJ Dybantsa holds a strong lead in 2026 NBA Draft trader consensus as the top overall prospect, driven by his versatile 6-9 wing profile, athleticism, and consistent No. 1 rankings across major outlets following a standout freshman season at BYU. Darryn Peterson remains the primary alternative at around 15%, valued for his guard playmaking and scoring but facing questions around size and recent pre-draft positioning. Key recent developments include Dybantsa completing formal visits and workouts with both the lottery-winning Washington Wizards (No. 1 pick) and Utah Jazz, while Peterson limited his meetings primarily to the Wizards, fueling speculation ahead of the June draft. Other names like Cameron Boozer sit well back amid the focus on this top duo's head-to-head pedigree and team fit evaluations.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$382,949
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.AJ Dybantsa holds a strong lead in 2026 NBA Draft trader consensus as the top overall prospect, driven by his versatile 6-9 wing profile, athleticism, and consistent No. 1 rankings across major outlets following a standout freshman season at BYU. Darryn Peterson remains the primary alternative at around 15%, valued for his guard playmaking and scoring but facing questions around size and recent pre-draft positioning. Key recent developments include Dybantsa completing formal visits and workouts with both the lottery-winning Washington Wizards (No. 1 pick) and Utah Jazz, while Peterson limited his meetings primarily to the Wizards, fueling speculation ahead of the June draft. Other names like Cameron Boozer sit well back amid the focus on this top duo's head-to-head pedigree and team fit evaluations.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$382,949
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Dybantsa" at 83%, followed by "Darryn Peterson" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" has generated $382.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is "AJ Dybantsa" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darryn Peterson" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.