Jannik Sinner commands 75% implied probability as the world No. 1 with elite hard-court dominance, fresh off ATP Finals glory and multiple Masters 1000 titles this fall, including deep Miami runs in prior years that showcase his baseline power and serve efficiency on the fast Crandon Park courts. Arthur Fils at 11.3% surges on breakout form, highlighted by his Shanghai Masters semifinal last week and rising top-20 ranking with aggressive returning suited to the surface. Alexander Zverev's 7.9% reflects steady top-5 consistency and past Miami finals experience, despite recent indoor focus. Jiri Lehecka's 6.3% nods to his booming serve and recent ATP 500 wins, though injury recovery tempers enthusiasm; lower probabilities for Cerundolo and Tiafoe underscore clay preferences and form dips amid a crowded field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
Jannik Sinner 75%
Arthur Fils 11.2%
Alexander Zverev 7.8%
Jiri Lehecka 6.3%
$160,841 Vol.
$160,841 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
75%
Arthur Fils
11%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Jannik Sinner 75%
Arthur Fils 11.2%
Alexander Zverev 7.8%
Jiri Lehecka 6.3%
$160,841 Vol.
$160,841 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
75%
Arthur Fils
11%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner commands 75% implied probability as the world No. 1 with elite hard-court dominance, fresh off ATP Finals glory and multiple Masters 1000 titles this fall, including deep Miami runs in prior years that showcase his baseline power and serve efficiency on the fast Crandon Park courts. Arthur Fils at 11.3% surges on breakout form, highlighted by his Shanghai Masters semifinal last week and rising top-20 ranking with aggressive returning suited to the surface. Alexander Zverev's 7.9% reflects steady top-5 consistency and past Miami finals experience, despite recent indoor focus. Jiri Lehecka's 6.3% nods to his booming serve and recent ATP 500 wins, though injury recovery tempers enthusiasm; lower probabilities for Cerundolo and Tiafoe underscore clay preferences and form dips amid a crowded field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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