Trader consensus prices Jannik Sinner as a heavy 75% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Miami Open, driven by his sustained ATP No. 1 ranking, elite hard court record—including Australian Open and US Open titles—and flawless execution in high-stakes Masters 1000 events like recent Indian Wells triumphs. Arthur Fils at 10.7% reflects his rapid ascent with breakthrough wins on fast surfaces, showcasing explosive baseline aggression and serving improvements in late 2024-early 2025 tournaments. Alexander Zverev's 8.0% share underscores his veteran consistency, Olympic pedigree, and strong Miami history despite injury setbacks, while Jiri Lehecka's 6.5% nods to his power game and recent upsets against top seeds. Stable rankings and no key injuries in the past 30 days maintain this hierarchy ahead of the March hard court draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
Jannik Sinner 76%
Arthur Fils 10.8%
Alexander Zverev 7.9%
Jiri Lehecka 5.9%
$160,870 Vol.
$160,870 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
76%
Arthur Fils
11%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Jannik Sinner 76%
Arthur Fils 10.8%
Alexander Zverev 7.9%
Jiri Lehecka 5.9%
$160,870 Vol.
$160,870 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
76%
Arthur Fils
11%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Jannik Sinner as a heavy 75% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Miami Open, driven by his sustained ATP No. 1 ranking, elite hard court record—including Australian Open and US Open titles—and flawless execution in high-stakes Masters 1000 events like recent Indian Wells triumphs. Arthur Fils at 10.7% reflects his rapid ascent with breakthrough wins on fast surfaces, showcasing explosive baseline aggression and serving improvements in late 2024-early 2025 tournaments. Alexander Zverev's 8.0% share underscores his veteran consistency, Olympic pedigree, and strong Miami history despite injury setbacks, while Jiri Lehecka's 6.5% nods to his power game and recent upsets against top seeds. Stable rankings and no key injuries in the past 30 days maintain this hierarchy ahead of the March hard court draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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