Jannik Sinner's 74% implied probability as 2026 Miami Open frontrunner reflects his world No. 1 dominance on hard courts, bolstered by his Shanghai Masters title last week and 2024 Miami victory, giving him superior course history in this ATP Masters 1000 event. Arthur Fils at 7.9% gains traction from breakout deep runs like his US Open quarterfinals and recent top-10 upsets, signaling rising threat potential. Alexander Zverev's 7.6% stems from consistent Masters deep runs and hard-court pedigree despite a recent Shanghai semifinal exit, while Jiri Lehecka's 5.9% acknowledges his Adelaide 2024 win but factors in ongoing injury recovery concerns. Lower shares for Cerundolo, Tiafoe, and Paul highlight their weaker hard-court records amid Sinner's momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
Jannik Sinner 74%
Arthur Fils 8.2%
Alexander Zverev 7.8%
Jiri Lehecka 5.9%
$160,662 Vol.
$160,662 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
74%
Arthur Fils
8%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Jannik Sinner 74%
Arthur Fils 8.2%
Alexander Zverev 7.8%
Jiri Lehecka 5.9%
$160,662 Vol.
$160,662 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
74%
Arthur Fils
8%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner's 74% implied probability as 2026 Miami Open frontrunner reflects his world No. 1 dominance on hard courts, bolstered by his Shanghai Masters title last week and 2024 Miami victory, giving him superior course history in this ATP Masters 1000 event. Arthur Fils at 7.9% gains traction from breakout deep runs like his US Open quarterfinals and recent top-10 upsets, signaling rising threat potential. Alexander Zverev's 7.6% stems from consistent Masters deep runs and hard-court pedigree despite a recent Shanghai semifinal exit, while Jiri Lehecka's 5.9% acknowledges his Adelaide 2024 win but factors in ongoing injury recovery concerns. Lower shares for Cerundolo, Tiafoe, and Paul highlight their weaker hard-court records amid Sinner's momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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